Andy Pages has been a home run desert over his last 10 games, posting a perfect 0-10-0 record on the under with zero home runs total. This represents a complete power outage for the Dodgers center fielder, creating a historically profitable under trend that demands serious attention.
Expert Analysis
Andy Pages's complete absence of home runs over this 10-game stretch represents more than just a cold streak—it's a fundamental power drought that has created one of the most reliable under trends in baseball. The 0.0% over rate with zero home runs against a consistent 0.5 line reveals a player whose swing mechanics or approach have shifted dramatically away from power production. This isn't variance—it's a pattern that suggests either injury concerns, mechanical adjustments, or a deliberate shift toward contact over power. The -100% ROI on overs speaks to the completeness of this trend, while the +90.9% under ROI demonstrates the profitability of fading Pages's power. What makes this particularly compelling is the consistency—no mixed signals or near-misses, just a complete absence of over-the-fence production. The sample size of 10 games provides enough data to establish pattern recognition while remaining recent enough to reflect current form. However, regression remains a constant threat, especially for a player with demonstrated power potential earlier in his career. The key question becomes whether this represents a new baseline or an extended slump that could break at any moment.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The perfect 0-10-0 under record creates compelling value, but the complete absence of power raises regression concerns that prevent high conviction. Target this trend in favorable pitcher matchups or difficult hitting environments where Pages faces quality breaking balls. The main risk is that one swing can instantly break this streak, making timing crucial for maximizing the remaining value in this historically profitable under trend.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-15 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Andy Pages's Home Runs prop record last 10 games?
Andy Pages has gone 0-10-0 on home run overs in his last 10 games, hitting zero home runs total. This perfect under record spans from July 10th through September 28th, 2024, representing a complete power drought.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Andy Pages Home Runs last 10 games?
Lean under on Andy Pages home runs with medium confidence. The perfect 0-10-0 under record and +90.9% ROI create compelling value, but regression risk prevents maximum conviction on this historically profitable trend.
What's Andy Pages's average Home Runs last 10 games?
Andy Pages is averaging 0.0 home runs over his last 10 games against a typical 0.5 line, creating a -0.5 differential. This represents a complete absence of power production over a meaningful sample size.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Andy Pages home run unders against quality pitching with strong breaking balls or in pitcher-friendly environments. Avoid this trend in obvious hitting spots where one swing could instantly break the streak.