Andrew Benintendi has delivered exceptional under value in his hits prop, going under in 64.7% of games (55-30 record) with a massive +23.5% ROI. His 0.78 average sits a full half-hit below the typical 1.3 line, creating consistent betting opportunities. This represents a clear lean under with strong historical backing.
Expert Analysis
Benintendi's hits prop presents one of the most reliable under trends in baseball, driven by fundamental offensive decline rather than temporary slump. His 0.78 hits per game average creates a substantial 0.52-hit cushion below standard lines, indicating books haven't fully adjusted to his diminished contact ability. The 64.7% under rate across 85 games provides robust sample size confidence, while the +23.5% under ROI demonstrates market inefficiency. His longest under streak of 11 games reveals how extended cold periods can devastate hit accumulation, particularly concerning given his current 2-game under streak. The White Sox offensive environment compounds these struggles, as team-wide offensive futility limits quality at-bat opportunities. Most telling is the consistency of this trend—even his longest over streak of 8 games couldn't offset the overwhelming under performance. While regression toward league norms remains possible, Benintendi's plate discipline metrics and batted ball data suggest structural issues rather than variance-driven struggles. The -32.6% over ROI serves as a stark warning against contrarian betting, as books appear slow to adjust lines downward despite overwhelming evidence.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Benintendi's 64.7% under rate and +23.5% ROI create compelling value, particularly with his 0.78 average sitting well below typical 1.3 lines. The structural nature of his offensive decline suggests continued under performance rather than mean reversion. Primary risk involves potential line adjustments as books recognize the trend, though current market inefficiency remains exploitable.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-06 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-25 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-21 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-20 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-17 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Andrew Benintendi's Hits prop record all games?
Andrew Benintendi's hits prop record shows 30 overs and 55 unders across 85 games, producing a 35.3% over rate. This translates to going under in nearly two-thirds of his appearances, with the under delivering a strong +23.5% ROI compared to -32.6% for overs.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Andrew Benintendi Hits all games?
Bet under on Andrew Benintendi's hits props. His 64.7% under rate and 0.78 hits per game average create consistent value against standard 1.3 lines. The +23.5% under ROI demonstrates this isn't variance but a sustainable edge worth exploiting.
What's Andrew Benintendi's average Hits all games?
Andrew Benintendi averages 0.78 hits per game, sitting 0.52 hits below the typical 1.3 line. This substantial gap explains his 64.7% under rate and creates a mathematical advantage for under bettors in most market conditions.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Andrew Benintendi hits unders when lines sit at 1.0 or higher, maximizing the gap with his 0.78 average. His longest under streak of 11 games suggests extended cold periods, making unders particularly valuable during any current slump phases.