Andrew Abbott's strikeout props have been a goldmine for under bettors, hitting just 31.6% of overs across 19 games with a massive -0.9 differential versus the line. The 30.6% ROI on unders reflects consistent overvaluation by oddsmakers. This is a strong lean under situation.
Expert Analysis
The numbers paint a clear picture of systematic overvaluation in Andrew Abbott's strikeout markets. Averaging just 4.16 strikeouts against a 5.08 line represents nearly a full strikeout gap that oddsmakers haven't properly adjusted for. This isn't a small sample fluke—19 games provides meaningful data, and the consistency is striking with only 6 overs in that span. Abbott's profile suggests limited strikeout upside despite being a starting pitcher. Young pitchers often see inflated strikeout lines as books anticipate development that may not materialize immediately. The longest under streak of 5 games demonstrates how persistently Abbott has fallen short of expectations. While he's currently on a brief 2-game over streak, this appears to be noise rather than signal given the overwhelming historical pattern. The -39.7% ROI on overs is catastrophic and suggests books are slow to adjust their pricing model for Abbott's actual strikeout production. This creates a sustainable edge for sharp bettors willing to consistently fade the inflated numbers.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 30.6% ROI on unders and -0.9 differential create a clear mathematical edge, though the recent 2-game over streak introduces slight caution. Target Abbott strikeout unders when the line sits at 5.0 or higher, where the historical gap is most pronounced. Main risk is potential skill development or increased usage that could boost his strikeout rate moving forward.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-07 | OPP | 5.5 | 7.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-02 | OPP | 5.5 | 8.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-21 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-08 | OPP | 5.5 | 8.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-03 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-27 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-15 | OPP | 5.5 | 3.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-03 | OPP | 4.5 | 6.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-28 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-21 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-15 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-10 | OPP | 5.5 | 2.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-04 | OPP | 5.5 | 8.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-28 | OPP | 5.5 | 7.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-23 | OPP | 5.5 | 3.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Andrew Abbott's Strikeouts prop record all games?
Andrew Abbott has gone over his strikeout prop in just 6 of 19 games (31.6%) with a 6-13-0 record. He averages 4.16 strikeouts against a typical 5.08 line, creating a significant -0.9 differential that has consistently favored under bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Andrew Abbott Strikeouts all games?
Bet under on Andrew Abbott's strikeout props. The 30.6% ROI on unders and consistent -0.9 differential versus the line create a clear mathematical edge. His 31.6% over rate across 19 games shows systematic overvaluation by oddsmakers.
What's Andrew Abbott's average Strikeouts all games?
Andrew Abbott averages 4.16 strikeouts per game against an average line of 5.08, creating a -0.9 differential. This nearly full-strikeout gap between his actual production and market expectations has been the foundation for profitable under betting.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Abbott strikeout unders when lines are set at 5.0 or higher, where the historical gap is most pronounced. Avoid betting during potential breakout stretches or when he faces particularly weak lineups that might inflate his strikeout totals.