Alec Bohm shows a meaningful edge on hits props in away games, posting an 8-6 record over his 1.29 average line with a solid +9.1% ROI on overs. His 1.57 hits per away game creates a +0.3 differential that translates to consistent value. Lean over on Bohm's hits props when the Phillies travel.
Expert Analysis
Alec Bohm's away game hitting performance reveals a player who thrives outside Citizens Bank Park, averaging 1.57 hits per game against lines typically set around 1.29. This +0.3 differential isn't massive, but it's consistent enough across 14 games to generate profitable returns. The 57.1% over rate suggests books haven't fully adjusted to Bohm's road success, creating ongoing value. What makes this trend particularly compelling is the sustainability factor - Bohm's approach doesn't rely on unsustainable power surges or lucky bounces, but rather solid contact and situational hitting that travels well. The absence of extreme streaks (longest over and under both at just 2 games) indicates steady performance rather than volatile hot-and-cold stretches. However, the limited sample size of 14 games demands caution, and the recent 2-game under streak might signal either natural variance or potential regression. The -18.2% ROI on unders reinforces that fading this trend has been costly, but also highlights the importance of line shopping since even small variations in the number could impact profitability significantly.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Alec Bohm's consistent road hitting creates legitimate value when books set his hits line at 1.5 or below. The +0.3 differential and positive ROI indicate a sustainable edge, though the modest sample size prevents high conviction. Target this prop when Bohm faces average pitching on the road, avoiding elite starters who could suppress his contact rate. The main risk is regression to his career norms, but current data supports continued over betting.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 14 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-28 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-20 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 4.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-08 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-10-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Alec Bohm's Hits prop record away games?
Alec Bohm's hits prop record in away games stands at 8-6 over/under with a 57.1% over rate. He's averaging 1.57 hits per away game against lines typically set around 1.29, creating consistent value for over bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Alec Bohm Hits away games?
Bet over on Alec Bohm's hits props in away games. His 1.57 average significantly exceeds typical lines around 1.29, generating a profitable +9.1% ROI on overs. The trend shows sustainability across 14 games with steady performance patterns.
What's Alec Bohm's average Hits away games?
Alec Bohm averages 1.57 hits per away game, which runs +0.3 above his typical line of 1.29. This differential has proven profitable, with overs hitting at a 57.1% rate and generating positive returns for bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Alec Bohm's hits overs when the Phillies play away games against average pitching staffs. Avoid betting when he faces elite starters, and ensure the line stays at 1.5 or below to maintain the profitable edge.