Alec Bohm's hits props show a modest edge toward overs with a 55.2% hit rate (16-13 record) and positive 5.3% ROI. His 1.34 average significantly exceeds the typical 1.12 line by 0.2 hits per game. Lean over on favorable matchups.
Expert Analysis
Alec Bohm's hits props present a compelling case study in steady production exceeding market expectations. His 1.34 hits per game average consistently outpacing the 1.12 line suggests sportsbooks are undervaluing his contact ability and batting average sustainability. The 55.2% over rate across 29 games indicates this isn't variance but a persistent edge rooted in Bohm's approach at the plate. His ability to make consistent contact, particularly against right-handed pitching where he sees the most volume, drives this trend. The positive 5.3% ROI on overs validates the betting value, while the harsh -14.4% under ROI warns against fading his production. However, the current three-game under streak represents potential regression after his longest four-game over streak earlier in the sample. Bohm's hits props appear most vulnerable against elite strikeout pitchers who can limit his contact opportunities, but his overall profile suggests a hitter whose line consistently underestimates his daily production ceiling. The lack of extreme volatility in his game logs supports the sustainability of this edge, making his overs particularly attractive when facing average or below-average pitching staffs.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Bohm's consistent 0.2 hits above the typical line creates sustainable value, supported by his 55.2% over rate and positive ROI. Target overs against right-handed starters and average pitching staffs where his contact skills shine brightest. Main risk is the current three-game under streak potentially extending, but his track record suggests regression toward his higher average.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-28 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-20 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-31 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-06-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Alec Bohm's Hits prop record all games?
Bohm's hits props show a 16-13 over/under record (55.2% overs) across 29 games from May 2023 to September 2024. His overs have generated a positive 5.3% ROI while unders have lost -14.4%.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Alec Bohm Hits all games?
Lean over on Bohm's hits props. His 1.34 average consistently beats the typical 1.12 line, creating sustainable value. Target favorable matchups against right-handed pitching and avoid elite strikeout artists who limit his contact opportunities.
What's Alec Bohm's average Hits all games?
Bohm averages 1.34 hits per game, which is 0.2 hits above the standard 1.12 line. This significant differential of nearly 20% above market expectations drives the positive value on his over bets.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Bohm's hits overs against right-handed starters and average pitching staffs where his contact skills are most effective. Avoid betting during cold streaks or against elite strikeout pitchers who can limit his opportunities.