The data suggests caution when backing the Pittsburgh Pirates in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as sunday games, the Pittsburgh Pirates are just 462-497-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -8.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +8.0%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record462-497-2
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size961 games
ROI-8.0%
Units Won-77.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201450-39-00.0%+7.2%
201529-43-10.0%-23.1%
201642-47-00.0%-9.9%
201745-35-00.0%+7.4%
201839-46-00.0%-12.4%
201938-40-10.0%-7.0%
202052-52-00.0%-4.5%
202133-51-00.0%-25.0%
202249-43-00.0%+1.7%
202348-41-00.0%+3.0%
202437-60-00.0%-27.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Pirates' Sunday struggles stem from a combination of organizational depth issues and the psychological weight of weekend series finales. As a small-market franchise, Pittsburgh has consistently lacked the pitching depth necessary to maintain quality starts through Sunday rotations, often relying on fifth starters or spot starters who struggle against more established lineups. The team's chronic offensive inconsistency becomes magnified in day games, where their younger hitters have historically shown difficulty adjusting to afternoon shadows and varying lighting conditions at PNC Park. Sunday games frequently serve as rubber matches or series finales, creating pressure situations where the Pirates' mental approach has proven vulnerable. The franchise's recent rebuilding phases have resulted in lineups filled with inexperienced players who lack the veteran leadership needed to navigate these crucial moments effectively. Additionally, the team's bullpen construction has often prioritized development over immediate results, leading to late-game collapses when games remain competitive into the later innings. For bettors, the most profitable approach involves targeting the Pirates as fade candidates in Sunday home games during rebuilding seasons, particularly when facing teams with established veteran cores. This trend carries the most weight during April through June, when roster turnover and player development create the widest talent gaps.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Pittsburgh Pirates's ATS record as sunday games?

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 462-497-2 ATS record in Sunday games from 2014-2024. This represents a losing record against the spread over this 11-year period.

Is betting on the Pittsburgh Pirates as sunday games profitable?

No, betting on the Pittsburgh Pirates in Sunday games is not profitable, showing a -8.0% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Pittsburgh on Sundays.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Pirates' Sunday ATS performance is below the expected 50% break-even rate, indicating they consistently fail to cover spreads on Sundays. Their -8.0% ROI suggests significantly worse performance than typical betting expectations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.