Pittsburgh Pirates Small Underdog (+1 to +3) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Pittsburgh Pirates in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small underdog (+1 to +3), the Pittsburgh Pirates hold a record of 57-23-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +36.0% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $29 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 11-2-0 | 0.0% | +61.5% |
| 2015 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 7-3-0 | 0.0% | +33.6% |
| 2017 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2018 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2019 | 7-1-0 | 0.0% | +67.0% |
| 2020 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2021 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2022 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 6-4-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2024 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pirates' exceptional performance as small underdogs stems from their organizational identity as scrappy competitors who thrive when expectations are manageable. Pittsburgh has historically built teams around fundamentally sound baseball - strong defensive positioning, situational hitting, and opportunistic base running - attributes that become magnified when facing slightly favored opponents where the talent gap isn't overwhelming. Small underdog spots typically occur against divisional rivals or teams with similar payrolls, creating competitive equilibrium where Pittsburgh's veteran leadership and clubhouse chemistry provide meaningful edges. The Pirates often perform better when they can play loose and aggressive rather than carrying the weight of favorite status, allowing their role players to exceed expectations without the pressure of protecting leads. The franchise's recent rebuilding phases have actually enhanced this dynamic, as young players with nothing to lose often outperform modest expectations against established teams that may approach these games with less intensity. Pittsburgh's pitching staff historically performs well in these scenarios, keeping games close enough for their opportunistic offense to capitalize on late-game situations. This trend matters most during divisional play and interleague matchups where familiarity breeds competitive games regardless of perceived talent disparities.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Pittsburgh Pirates's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?
The Pittsburgh Pirates have an outstanding 57-23-0 ATS record as small underdogs (+1 to +3) from 2014-2024. This represents a 71.3% ATS win rate over 80 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Pittsburgh Pirates as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Pittsburgh Pirates as small underdogs has been highly profitable with a 36.0% ROI. This strong return is driven by their exceptional 71.3% ATS success rate in these spots.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly exceeds the league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS in any given situation. The Pirates' 71.3% ATS rate and 36.0% ROI as small underdogs represents elite value betting territory.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.