The Pittsburgh Pirates show mixed results as two days rest. Since 2014, they're 60-53-1 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +1.4%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record60-53-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size114 games
ROI+1.4%
Units Won+1.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20147-4-00.0%+21.5%
20153-1-10.0%+43.2%
20164-6-00.0%-23.6%
20175-4-00.0%+6.1%
20187-5-00.0%+11.4%
20193-3-00.0%-4.5%
202010-5-00.0%+27.3%
20213-6-00.0%-36.4%
20225-4-00.0%+6.1%
202310-4-00.0%+36.4%
20243-11-00.0%-59.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Pirates' struggles on two days rest reflect a franchise philosophy that has consistently prioritized player health and long-term development over short-term competitive advantages. Pittsburgh's front office approach, particularly evident during their rebuild years, emphasizes careful roster management and avoiding unnecessary risks with player workload. This conservative strategy becomes pronounced when dealing with compressed schedules, as the organization tends to rest key veterans and give opportunities to younger, less experienced players who may not be ready for high-leverage situations. The team's pitching depth has been a persistent weakness throughout this sample period, forcing manager decisions that often favor preservation over performance. When facing back-to-back games, Pittsburgh frequently deploys their weaker bullpen arms or spot starters, creating unfavorable matchups against opponents who may be more aggressive with their roster construction. The Pirates' offensive approach also tends to be more patient and methodical, which can be disrupted by the urgency that compressed schedules demand. For bettors, the key insight is recognizing when Pittsburgh faces quality opponents on two days rest, particularly during divisional play where familiarity compounds their strategic disadvantages. This trend matters most during summer stretches when schedule congestion forces the Pirates into multiple consecutive short-rest scenarios against teams with deeper rosters.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Pittsburgh Pirates's ATS record as two days rest?

The Pittsburgh Pirates have an ATS record of 60-53-1 (53.1%) when playing with two days rest from 2014-2024. This represents 114 total games over the 11-year period.

Is betting on the Pittsburgh Pirates as two days rest profitable?

Yes, betting on the Pittsburgh Pirates with two days rest has been profitable with a 1.4% ROI. Despite the modest return, their 53.1% ATS win rate has generated positive returns for bettors over this timeframe.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Pirates' 53.1% ATS win rate with two days rest is above the break-even point of 52.4% needed to overcome standard vig. This performance is solid compared to typical team situational trends, though specific league average data for this rest scenario would be needed for precise comparison.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.