Pittsburgh Pirates Underdog on 3+ Win Streak Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Pittsburgh Pirates in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as underdog on 3+ win streak, the Pittsburgh Pirates hold a record of 377-81-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +57.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $262 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 38-4-0 | 0.0% | +72.7% |
| 2015 | 21-3-0 | 0.0% | +67.0% |
| 2016 | 39-10-0 | 0.0% | +52.0% |
| 2017 | 33-10-0 | 0.0% | +46.5% |
| 2018 | 34-8-0 | 0.0% | +54.5% |
| 2019 | 30-7-0 | 0.0% | +54.8% |
| 2020 | 44-4-0 | 0.0% | +75.0% |
| 2021 | 29-11-0 | 0.0% | +38.4% |
| 2022 | 40-7-0 | 0.0% | +62.5% |
| 2023 | 37-9-0 | 0.0% | +53.6% |
| 2024 | 32-8-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pirates' exceptional performance as underdogs during win streaks stems from their organizational identity as scrappy overachievers who thrive when expectations remain low. Pittsburgh's roster construction typically features young, hungry players and seasoned veterans fighting for roster spots, creating a chemistry that feeds off momentum while oddsmakers still view them skeptically due to their small-market reputation. When riding hot streaks, the Pirates benefit from improved confidence in clutch situations and better execution of their fundamentally sound approach. Their pitching staff, often undervalued by the broader market, tends to elevate performance during these runs as starters work deeper into games and the bullpen finds its rhythm. The team's aggressive base-running and situational hitting become more effective when players are feeling good about themselves, while opponents may approach these games with less intensity against a "lesser" opponent. The key insight for bettors is recognizing that Pittsburgh's win streaks often coincide with their young players hitting developmental milestones, creating sustainable momentum that books are slow to adjust for. This trend carries the most weight during mid-season stretches when the Pirates are playing spoiler to contending teams who may overlook them while focused on bigger-picture playoff positioning.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Pittsburgh Pirates's ATS record as underdog on 3+ win streak?
The Pittsburgh Pirates have an ATS record of 377-81-0 when they are underdogs on a 3+ game win streak from 2014-2024. This represents a 82.3% ATS win rate over 458 total games in this situation.
Is betting on the Pittsburgh Pirates as underdog on 3+ win streak profitable?
Yes, betting on the Pittsburgh Pirates as underdogs on a 3+ win streak has been highly profitable with a 57.1% ROI from 2014-2024. This trend has consistently beaten the spread at an exceptional rate over the 10-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 82.3% ATS win rate significantly outperforms typical league averages, which generally hover around 50% for ATS betting. The Pirates' performance in this specific situation represents one of the strongest betting trends in baseball over the past decade.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.