Pittsburgh Pirates Away Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Pittsburgh Pirates in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog after a win, the Pittsburgh Pirates hold a record of 99-16-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +64.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $74 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 16-2-0 | 0.0% | +69.7% |
| 2015 | 11-1-0 | 0.0% | +75.0% |
| 2016 | 9-2-0 | 0.0% | +56.2% |
| 2017 | 11-2-0 | 0.0% | +61.5% |
| 2018 | 6-1-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2019 | 8-1-0 | 0.0% | +69.7% |
| 2020 | 10-2-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2021 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2022 | 7-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 10-2-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2024 | 5-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pirates' exceptional performance as away underdogs following wins stems from a perfect storm of psychological momentum and market inefficiency. Pittsburgh teams historically thrive when carrying confidence into hostile environments, and this franchise has cultivated a scrappy identity that translates beautifully to road underdog scenarios. When the Pirates secure a victory, they often do so by playing fundamental, mistake-free baseball that travels well to opposing ballparks. The betting market consistently undervalues Pittsburgh's ability to sustain momentum, particularly on the road where their blue-collar approach resonates with players who embrace the grind. The Pirates' organizational philosophy emphasizes situational hitting and opportunistic play-calling, skills that become amplified when they're riding the high of a recent win. Road underdogs naturally benefit from reduced pressure and lowered expectations, allowing Pittsburgh to play loose while opponents face the burden of performing for demanding home crowds. The key insight for bettors is recognizing that Pittsburgh's success in this spot isn't fluky – it's systematic. Their patient offensive approach and reliable bullpen depth create sustainable advantages that oddsmakers routinely underestimate. This trend matters most during mid-season stretches when the Pirates face quality opponents in pitcher-friendly ballparks, where their disciplined approach and recent confidence create maximum betting value.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Pittsburgh Pirates's ATS record as away underdog after a win?
The Pittsburgh Pirates have an outstanding 99-16-0 ATS record as away underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to an 86.1% ATS win rate over 115 games.
Is betting on the Pittsburgh Pirates as away underdog after a win profitable?
Yes, betting on the Pirates as away underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 64.3% ROI. This represents one of the most consistent and profitable betting trends in baseball over the past decade.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly exceeds the league average, as most teams struggle to maintain even a 50% ATS win rate in any specific situation. The Pirates' 86.1% success rate in this scenario is exceptionally rare and well above typical underdog performance.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.