Philadelphia Phillies vs Non-Conference Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Philadelphia Phillies show mixed results as vs non-conference opponent. Since 2014, they're 212-206-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -3.2%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 18-17-0 | 0.0% | -1.8% |
| 2015 | 19-17-0 | 0.0% | +0.8% |
| 2016 | 17-18-0 | 0.0% | -7.3% |
| 2017 | 26-16-0 | 0.0% | +18.2% |
| 2018 | 14-19-0 | 0.0% | -19.0% |
| 2019 | 21-22-0 | 0.0% | -6.8% |
| 2020 | 18-19-0 | 0.0% | -7.1% |
| 2021 | 20-15-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2022 | 18-24-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2023 | 20-26-0 | 0.0% | -17.0% |
| 2024 | 21-13-0 | 0.0% | +17.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Phillies' mediocre performance against non-conference opponents reflects the inherent challenges of interleague play, where unfamiliarity breeds unpredictability. Philadelphia has historically struggled with strategic adjustments when facing American League teams, particularly regarding designated hitter usage and different pitching philosophies. The organization's roster construction has traditionally favored National League-style play, making them vulnerable when forced to adapt their lineup and bullpen management against AL opponents. Philadelphia's coaching staff has shown inconsistent game planning against unfamiliar opponents, often relying too heavily on standard approaches rather than exploiting specific matchup advantages. The team's hitters have particularly struggled against AL pitching they rarely see, while their pitchers sometimes fail to adjust to more aggressive AL offensive approaches. This creates a perfect storm for disappointing ATS performance, as oddsmakers often fail to account for these adaptation difficulties. The psychological element cannot be ignored either. Phillies players have historically treated interleague games as novelties rather than crucial contests, leading to inconsistent effort levels and preparation. Smart bettors should focus on fading Philadelphia in interleague series openers and road interleague games, where adaptation challenges are most pronounced and the team's preparation gaps become most evident.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Philadelphia Phillies's ATS record as vs non-conference opponent?
The Philadelphia Phillies have gone 212-206-0 against the spread when facing non-conference opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 50.7% ATS win rate over 418 total games.
Is betting on the Philadelphia Phillies as vs non-conference opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Philadelphia Phillies against non-conference opponents has not been profitable, showing a -3.2% ROI over the 11-year period. Despite their slightly above .500 ATS record, the negative return indicates poor value in the betting lines.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is roughly in line with league expectations, as the 50.7% ATS win rate is just slightly above the break-even point of 50%. The -3.2% ROI suggests the betting market has been fairly efficient in pricing Phillies games against non-conference opponents.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.