Philadelphia Phillies Home Games Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Philadelphia Phillies show mixed results as home games. Since 2014, they're 223-207-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -1.0%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 16-14-0 | 0.0% | +1.8% |
| 2015 | 22-24-0 | 0.0% | -8.7% |
| 2016 | 23-14-0 | 0.0% | +18.7% |
| 2017 | 20-27-0 | 0.0% | -18.8% |
| 2018 | 17-14-0 | 0.0% | +4.7% |
| 2019 | 18-26-0 | 0.0% | -21.9% |
| 2020 | 16-19-0 | 0.0% | -12.7% |
| 2021 | 23-16-0 | 0.0% | +12.6% |
| 2022 | 24-16-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2023 | 19-18-0 | 0.0% | -2.0% |
| 2024 | 25-19-0 | 0.0% | +8.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Phillies' mediocre home ATS performance reflects the unique pressures of playing at Citizens Bank Park, where passionate Philadelphia fans create both energy and expectation. This dual-edged environment often leads to inflated public betting on the home team, pushing lines beyond their true value. The ballpark's dimensions favor offensive production with its short left field and favorable wind patterns, yet this offensive reputation frequently gets baked into spreads that overvalue Philadelphia's scoring potential. Philadelphia's home struggles stem partly from their historically inconsistent pitching staff, which gets exposed more readily in familiar surroundings where opposing hitters can better prepare for repeated matchups. The team's tendency to press in front of demanding home crowds has manifested in clutch hitting struggles and defensive lapses during crucial moments. Additionally, the Phillies have often been constructed as a team built more for road resilience than home dominance, with their roster compositions favoring adaptability over capitalizing on specific park factors. Smart bettors should focus on fading Philadelphia at home when they're facing quality starting pitching, particularly during day games following night contests when fatigue compounds their inconsistencies. This trend matters most during divisional matchups when public sentiment runs highest and oddsmakers adjust for anticipated heavy home action.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Philadelphia Phillies's ATS record as home games?
The Philadelphia Phillies have a 223-207-0 ATS record in home games from 2014-2024. This translates to a 51.9% ATS win rate over 430 total home games.
Is betting on the Philadelphia Phillies as home games profitable?
Betting on the Philadelphia Phillies in home games has not been profitable, showing a -1.0% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite covering the spread slightly more than half the time, the negative ROI indicates losses after accounting for betting juice.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Phillies' 51.9% home ATS win rate is slightly above the typical 50% baseline but below the ~52.4% needed to break even after sportsbook juice. Their -1.0% ROI suggests underperformance compared to profitable betting standards.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.