Philadelphia Phillies Away Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Philadelphia Phillies in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Philadelphia Phillies are just 43-188-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -64.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +64.5%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 7-19-0 | 0.0% | -48.6% |
| 2015 | 2-6-1 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2016 | 3-16-0 | 0.0% | -69.9% |
| 2017 | 5-20-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2018 | 3-13-0 | 0.0% | -64.2% |
| 2019 | 5-19-0 | 0.0% | -60.2% |
| 2020 | 3-16-0 | 0.0% | -69.9% |
| 2021 | 0-14-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 5-21-0 | 0.0% | -63.3% |
| 2023 | 4-19-0 | 0.0% | -66.8% |
| 2024 | 6-25-0 | 0.0% | -63.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Phillies' struggles as road favorites stem from a fundamental disconnect between market perception and road performance reality. Philadelphia has historically been a franchise that thrives on the energy of their passionate home crowd at Citizens Bank Park, where the atmosphere can elevate mediocre teams and mask underlying weaknesses. When the betting market makes them road favorites, it's often overvaluing their home-based reputation while underestimating how poorly their offensive approach translates to unfamiliar environments. Philadelphia's aggressive, swing-for-the-fences mentality that can dominate in South Philly often becomes a liability on the road, where different ballpark dimensions, weather conditions, and crowd dynamics require more situational hitting. Their pitching staff has also shown a pattern of struggling with command in hostile environments, leading to higher pitch counts and earlier exits from games where they're expected to control the outcome. The psychological pressure of being favored away from home compounds these issues. Players who feed off home energy often press when expected to perform as road favorites, creating a self-fulfilling prophecy of underperformance. This trend becomes most critical when the Phillies are road favorites against teams with strong home records or in divisional matchups where familiarity breeds competitive balance.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Philadelphia Phillies's ATS record as away favorite?
The Philadelphia Phillies have gone 43-188-1 against the spread (ATS) as away favorites from 2014-2024. This represents a 0.0% win rate over 232 total games in this situation.
Is betting on the Philadelphia Phillies as away favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Philadelphia Phillies as away favorites has been extremely unprofitable with a -64.5% ROI. This means bettors would have lost approximately 65 cents for every dollar wagered over this 11-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams typically cover around 50% of their spreads. The Phillies' 0.0% ATS rate as away favorites represents one of the worst situational trends in MLB betting.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.