Philadelphia Phillies After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Philadelphia Phillies show mixed results as after a win. Since 2014, they're 221-206-1 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -1.2%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 23-16-0 | 0.0% | +12.6% |
| 2015 | 20-16-1 | 0.0% | +6.1% |
| 2016 | 18-19-0 | 0.0% | -7.1% |
| 2017 | 26-18-0 | 0.0% | +12.8% |
| 2018 | 20-18-0 | 0.0% | +0.5% |
| 2019 | 14-24-0 | 0.0% | -29.7% |
| 2020 | 13-19-0 | 0.0% | -22.4% |
| 2021 | 20-17-0 | 0.0% | +3.2% |
| 2022 | 24-25-0 | 0.0% | -6.5% |
| 2023 | 21-13-0 | 0.0% | +17.9% |
| 2024 | 22-21-0 | 0.0% | -2.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Phillies' struggles after victories stem from a combination of psychological letdown and strategic adjustments by opposing teams. Philadelphia has historically been a momentum-driven club that can struggle with consistency, often playing to the level of their competition rather than maintaining steady performance standards. After securing wins, the team frequently experiences a relaxation effect where intensity drops, particularly evident in day games following night victories or when facing perceived weaker opponents. The franchise's offensive-heavy approach also contributes to this pattern. When the Phillies win big, they often rely on explosive offensive performances that can be difficult to replicate consistently. Opposing pitchers and managers study these high-scoring games intensively, making tactical adjustments that exploit Philadelphia's aggressive hitting approach in subsequent matchups. The team's bullpen depth issues over much of this sample period have also made them vulnerable to giving back leads when they enter games with confidence from previous wins. Smart bettors should target Philadelphia as road underdogs following home victories, where the letdown effect combines with travel fatigue and hostile environments. This trend becomes most critical during divisional play and in series where the Phillies have already secured the opening game.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Philadelphia Phillies's ATS record as after a win?
The Philadelphia Phillies have a 221-206-1 ATS record after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 51.8% ATS win rate over 428 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Philadelphia Phillies as after a win profitable?
Betting on the Philadelphia Phillies after a win has not been profitable, showing a -1.2% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite a slightly above .500 ATS record, the negative return indicates poor long-term betting value.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Phillies' 51.8% ATS win rate after wins is slightly above the typical 50% baseline but below what's needed for profitability. The -1.2% ROI suggests underperformance compared to successful betting trends that typically require 52.4%+ win rates to overcome juice.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.