The data suggests caution when backing the Oakland Athletics in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the Oakland Athletics are just 63-365-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -71.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +71.9%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record63-365-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size429 games
ROI-71.9%
Units Won-307.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20146-36-00.0%-72.7%
20159-25-00.0%-49.5%
20167-29-00.0%-62.9%
20176-38-00.0%-74.0%
20184-34-00.0%-79.9%
20197-40-00.0%-71.6%
20207-37-00.0%-69.6%
20215-25-00.0%-68.2%
20224-38-00.0%-81.8%
20233-34-00.0%-84.5%
20245-29-10.0%-71.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Athletics' historically poor performance as favorites stems from a fundamental mismatch between market perception and organizational reality. Oakland has operated as a small-market franchise with severe payroll constraints, creating a roster construction philosophy that prioritizes value over star power. When bookmakers set the A's as favorites, it typically occurs against equally struggling opponents or in situations where their starting pitcher provides a temporary edge. However, the team's lack of offensive depth and bullpen reliability consistently undermines these perceived advantages. The psychological factor cannot be overlooked either. Players on rebuilding teams often lack the killer instinct needed to capitalize on favorable matchups. When expectations rise even slightly, the pressure to perform as the "better" team frequently exposes Oakland's talent deficiencies. Their recent organizational focus on player development over winning has created a culture where individual improvement takes precedence over game outcomes, making them unreliable in spots where they're expected to deliver. The most actionable insight for bettors is to immediately consider fading Oakland whenever they're listed as favorites, particularly against division rivals who know their weaknesses intimately. This trend holds maximum value during interleague play when the A's face unfamiliar opponents who might be overvalued by the betting market.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Oakland Athletics's ATS record as as favorite?

The Oakland Athletics have an ATS record of 63-365-1 when favored from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 63 out of 429 games. This represents an extremely poor 14.7% ATS win rate over the 11-year period.

Is betting on the Oakland Athletics as as favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Oakland Athletics as favorites has been highly unprofitable with a -71.9% ROI from 2014-2024. This means bettors would have lost approximately 72 cents for every dollar wagered on Oakland when they were favored.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams typically cover around 50% of spreads over time. The Athletics' 14.7% ATS rate as favorites represents one of the worst betting trends in modern MLB history.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.