The New York Yankees show mixed results as on a 3+ game win streak. Since 2014, they're 449-437-1 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -3.2%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record449-437-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size887 games
ROI-3.2%
Units Won-28.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201438-45-00.0%-12.6%
201544-31-00.0%+12.0%
201640-44-00.0%-9.1%
201741-32-00.0%+7.2%
201846-35-00.0%+8.4%
201946-44-00.0%-2.4%
202039-51-10.0%-17.3%
202133-54-00.0%-27.6%
202239-28-00.0%+11.1%
202338-37-00.0%-3.3%
202445-36-00.0%+6.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Yankees' mediocre performance on extended win streaks reflects the psychological burden of heightened expectations that comes with pinstripes success. When New York gets hot, the betting public gravitates heavily toward them, inflating lines beyond their true value. This market overreaction creates consistent fade opportunities, as oddsmakers adjust spreads to account for the inevitable heavy action on a streaking Yankees squad. The franchise's star-heavy roster construction actually works against them in these spots. High-profile players often face amplified pressure during winning streaks, with media attention and fan expectations reaching fever pitch. This dynamic can lead to pressing at the plate and overthinking on the mound, particularly in games where the team is heavily favored. The Yankees' tendency to rely on power over small-ball manufacturing also makes them vulnerable when opponents adjust their approach during hot streaks. Smart bettors should consider fading the Yankees when they're riding momentum and facing inflated lines, especially in divisional games where opponents are most motivated to play spoiler. This trend carries the most weight during summer months when media coverage peaks and casual betting action reaches its highest volume.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New York Yankees's ATS record as on a 3+ game win streak?

The New York Yankees have an ATS record of 449-437-1 when on a 3+ game win streak from 2014-2024. This translates to a 50.7% ATS win rate over 887 total games in this situation.

Is betting on the New York Yankees as on a 3+ game win streak profitable?

No, betting on the Yankees when on a 3+ game win streak has not been profitable, showing a -3.2% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite covering slightly more often than not, the negative return indicates poor long-term betting value.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is slightly below league average, as most teams on win streaks tend to have inflated betting lines that make ATS coverage more difficult. The Yankees' 50.7% ATS rate in this spot is marginally better than the typical 50% baseline but still unprofitable due to betting juice.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.