New York Yankees Small Underdog (+1 to +3) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the New York Yankees in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small underdog (+1 to +3), the New York Yankees hold a record of 52-30-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +21.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $17 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2015 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2016 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2017 | 8-1-0 | 0.0% | +69.7% |
| 2018 | 6-4-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2019 | 6-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2021 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 6-1-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2023 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2024 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Yankees' exceptional performance as small underdogs stems from their organizational culture of expecting to win regardless of public perception. When oddsmakers view them as slight underdogs, it typically reflects temporary circumstances like facing an ace pitcher, playing on the road against a hot team, or dealing with short-term roster issues rather than fundamental weaknesses. This creates a psychological edge where the Yankees feel disrespected while maintaining their talent advantage. As small underdogs, the Yankees often benefit from reduced public betting pressure, allowing sharper line value to emerge. Their deep lineup and bullpen depth become particularly valuable in these spots, as they can weather early deficits and capitalize on late-game opportunities when opponents might be overconfident. The franchise's playoff-caliber roster construction means they rarely face situations where they're legitimately inferior to opponents by meaningful margins. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when the Yankees are small underdogs due to narrative-driven pricing rather than legitimate talent gaps. Look for spots where recent struggles or media storylines have inflated their underdog status against teams they match up well against fundamentally. This trend matters most during mid-season stretches when temporary slumps meet favorable scheduling, and in September when roster depth advantages become magnified against tiring opponents.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the New York Yankees's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?
The New York Yankees have an ATS record of 52-30-0 as small underdogs (+1 to +3) from 2014-2024. This represents a 63.4% ATS win rate over 82 games in this situation.
Is betting on the New York Yankees as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Yankees as small underdogs has been highly profitable with a 21.1% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 63.4% ATS success rate in this spot significantly exceeds the break-even threshold needed for profitability.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is exceptional compared to league averages, as most teams struggle to consistently cover spreads as underdogs. A 21.1% ROI over an 11-year span represents substantial long-term value for bettors.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.