The data suggests caution when backing the New York Yankees in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as two days rest, the New York Yankees are just 52-53-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -5.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +5.5%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record52-53-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size105 games
ROI-5.5%
Units Won-5.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20146-6-00.0%-4.5%
20154-2-00.0%+27.3%
20166-5-00.0%+4.1%
20175-8-00.0%-26.6%
20185-5-00.0%-4.5%
20194-2-00.0%+27.3%
20203-9-00.0%-52.3%
20213-7-00.0%-42.7%
20224-2-00.0%+27.3%
20236-4-00.0%+14.6%
20246-3-00.0%+27.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Yankees' mediocre performance on two days rest reflects the organization's traditional emphasis on veteran leadership and methodical preparation routines. Unlike younger, more athletic teams that might benefit from the adrenaline rush of quick turnarounds, New York's roster construction typically favors experienced players who rely heavily on established pre-game rituals and mental preparation. This demographic tends to struggle when their normal routine gets compressed, particularly affecting their approach at the plate where timing and rhythm are paramount. The franchise's analytical approach also works against them in these situations. Yankees hitters are notorious for studying extensive video and scouting reports, a process that becomes rushed with limited preparation time. Their pitching staff, often featuring aging veterans or high-maintenance arms, similarly suffers when normal recovery and preparation protocols get abbreviated. The team's reliance on situational matchups and detailed game-planning becomes less effective when there's insufficient time to properly scout opponents. Bettors should consider fading the Yankees when they're favored on two days rest, particularly against teams with younger, more athletic rosters that thrive on momentum. This trend carries the most weight during summer stretches when the accumulated fatigue of veteran players becomes most pronounced.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New York Yankees's ATS record as two days rest?

The New York Yankees have a 52-53-0 ATS record when playing on two days rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 49.5% ATS win rate over 105 games.

Is betting on the New York Yankees as two days rest profitable?

No, betting on the Yankees with two days rest has not been profitable, showing a -5.5% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing New York in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Yankees' 49.5% ATS rate on two days rest is slightly below the expected 50% break-even point. While not dramatically poor, it falls short of profitable betting standards and suggests oddsmakers accurately price this team situation.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.