The public often underestimates the New York Yankees in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the New York Yankees hold a record of 187-4-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +86.9% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $166 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record187-4-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size191 games
ROI+86.9%
Units Won+166.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201418-1-00.0%+80.9%
201521-0-00.0%+90.9%
201616-0-00.0%+90.9%
201717-0-00.0%+90.9%
201811-0-00.0%+90.9%
201918-0-00.0%+90.9%
202018-0-00.0%+90.9%
202119-0-00.0%+90.9%
202213-1-00.0%+77.3%
202315-0-00.0%+90.9%
202421-2-00.0%+74.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Yankees' exceptional performance as large underdogs stems from their organizational culture of never accepting defeat, regardless of circumstances. When facing significant point spreads, this franchise historically responds with the kind of urgency and focus that made them baseball's most successful organization. The psychological makeup of Yankees players, conditioned by the weight of pinstripes and playoff expectations, creates a unique resilience when written off by oddsmakers. From a strategic standpoint, large underdog scenarios typically occur when the Yankees face elite pitching or play in hostile road environments where their veteran leadership thrives. The team's depth allows them to deploy different lineup configurations and bullpen strategies when conventional approaches aren't favored, often catching opponents and bettors off-guard. Their financial resources also mean they rarely field truly inferior talent, even in perceived mismatch situations. The recent stumble suggests this trend may be cooling as the modern game becomes more analytically predictable, but the core psychological factors remain intact. Bettors should focus on Yankees games where they're large road underdogs against division rivals, as these scenarios combine maximum motivation with familiarity that can neutralize opponent advantages. This trend matters most during late-season series when playoff implications amplify the Yankees' competitive DNA.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New York Yankees's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?

The New York Yankees have an ATS record of 187-4-0 as large underdogs (+7.5 or more) from 2014-2024. This represents a 97.9% ATS win rate in these situations.

Is betting on the New York Yankees as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Yankees as large underdogs has been extremely profitable with an 86.9% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Despite being heavy underdogs, they've covered the spread in 187 of 191 games.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is exceptional compared to league averages, where teams typically cover around 50% of spreads. The Yankees' 97.9% ATS rate as large underdogs is historically dominant and well above normal expectations.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.