The public often underestimates the New York Yankees in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the New York Yankees hold a record of 89-16-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +61.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $65 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record89-16-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size105 games
ROI+61.8%
Units Won+64.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-4-00.0%-4.5%
20159-0-00.0%+90.9%
20166-0-00.0%+90.9%
201710-2-00.0%+59.1%
201812-2-00.0%+63.6%
20197-3-00.0%+33.6%
202010-0-00.0%+90.9%
202110-1-00.0%+73.5%
20228-1-00.0%+69.7%
20235-1-00.0%+59.1%
20248-2-00.0%+52.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Yankees' dominance as home underdogs following victories stems from a potent combination of organizational pride and market inefficiency. When oddsmakers install the Bronx Bombers as home dogs after a win, they're typically reacting to recent offensive struggles or pitching concerns that create temporary value gaps. The Yankees' deep organizational culture refuses to accept underdog status at home, particularly when momentum is building from a previous victory. This pattern reflects New York's ability to elevate their performance when disrespected by the betting market. The team's veteran leadership and playoff-caliber roster construction means they possess the talent to exploit situations where public perception lags behind actual capability. Home field advantage at Yankee Stadium amplifies this effect, as the short right field porch and raucous crowd create additional pressure on visiting teams already facing a motivated opponent. The psychological element cannot be understated - Yankees players and management view home underdog status as an affront to their championship expectations. This creates a perfect storm of value and motivation that sharp bettors can exploit. This trend holds maximum value during mid-season stretches when the Yankees face quality opponents but recent struggles have temporarily deflated their market perception.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New York Yankees's ATS record as home underdog after a win?

The New York Yankees have an 89-16-0 ATS record as home underdog after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to an 84.8% ATS win rate over 105 games.

Is betting on the New York Yankees as home underdog after a win profitable?

Yes, betting on the Yankees as home underdog after a win has been highly profitable with a 61.8% ROI. This represents exceptional value over the 10-year period from 2014-2024.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 84.8% ATS win rate significantly outperforms the typical 52.4% needed to break even in sports betting. The Yankees' performance in this specific situation is well above league average trends.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.