New York Yankees Home Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the New York Yankees in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the New York Yankees hold a record of 189-36-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +60.4% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $136 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 11-7-0 | 0.0% | +16.7% |
| 2015 | 23-1-0 | 0.0% | +83.0% |
| 2016 | 17-3-0 | 0.0% | +62.3% |
| 2017 | 19-2-0 | 0.0% | +72.7% |
| 2018 | 22-4-0 | 0.0% | +61.5% |
| 2019 | 20-3-0 | 0.0% | +66.0% |
| 2020 | 19-4-0 | 0.0% | +57.7% |
| 2021 | 13-2-0 | 0.0% | +65.5% |
| 2022 | 17-4-0 | 0.0% | +54.5% |
| 2023 | 12-2-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2024 | 16-4-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Yankees' dominance as home underdogs stems from a perfect storm of psychological and situational factors that create tremendous betting value. When oddsmakers make the Yankees underdogs at Yankee Stadium, they're typically accounting for superior opposing pitching or recent struggles, but they often underestimate the franchise's championship DNA and fan energy that kicks into overdrive when the team faces adversity. Yankee Stadium becomes a pressure cooker when the home team is written off, and this organization has consistently responded with their best baseball in these spots. The short porch in right field becomes even more dangerous when opposing pitchers feel the weight of expectation, while Yankees hitters tend to elevate their approach knowing they need to overcome both the opponent and public perception. The franchise's deep pockets also mean they're rarely truly overmatched talent-wise, even when the betting market suggests otherwise. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when the underdog line stems from narrative rather than fundamental disadvantage. Look for Yankees home underdog spots when they're facing elite opposing starters or coming off rough road trips, as these scenarios often create the most inflated lines. This trend carries maximum weight during crucial series in summer months when playoff positioning intensifies the Bronx atmosphere.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the New York Yankees's ATS record as home underdog?
The New York Yankees have an ATS record of 189-36-0 as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents an exceptional 84.0% ATS win rate over 225 total games.
Is betting on the New York Yankees as home underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Yankees as home underdogs has been extremely profitable with a 60.4% ROI from 2014-2024. This means a $100 bet would have generated $60.40 in profit on average.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly exceeds league average, as most teams struggle to cover spreads consistently as underdogs. An 84.0% ATS win rate and 60.4% ROI represents elite contrarian value that far surpasses typical underdog betting returns.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.