The public often underestimates the New York Yankees in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away vs division rival, the New York Yankees hold a record of 86-70-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +5.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $8 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record86-70-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size157 games
ROI+5.2%
Units Won+8.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201412-10-00.0%+4.1%
20158-8-00.0%-4.5%
20165-9-00.0%-31.8%
201711-5-00.0%+31.2%
20187-2-00.0%+48.5%
201912-5-00.0%+34.8%
20204-6-10.0%-23.6%
20216-9-00.0%-23.6%
20226-2-00.0%+43.2%
20235-5-00.0%-4.5%
202410-9-00.0%+0.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Yankees' struggles as road favorites against division rivals stem from the unique pressures that come with their storied franchise expectations meeting familiar opponents who know them intimately. Division rivals have extensive video footage and scouting reports on Yankees tendencies, particularly their power-heavy offensive approach that can become predictable in hostile environments. Teams like Boston, Tampa Bay, and Toronto elevate their intensity specifically for Yankees visits, creating atmospheres where home crowds provide extra motivation against baseball's most polarizing franchise. New York's offensive philosophy, built around the long ball and patient plate approaches, faces its greatest test against division pitchers who've studied their hitters extensively throughout the season. These pitchers know exactly how to attack Yankees sluggers, often leading to feast-or-famine offensive performances that make covering spreads challenging on the road. The psychological weight of representing the pinstripes in enemy territory, combined with opponents' heightened preparation levels, creates a perfect storm for underperformance relative to betting market expectations. Smart bettors should focus on fading the Yankees as road chalk when they face division opponents coming off rest, as these teams typically have extra time to game-plan specifically for New York's approach. This trend carries the most weight during crucial September series when division standings intensify the already heated rivalries.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New York Yankees's ATS record as away vs division rival?

The New York Yankees have an 86-70-1 ATS record when playing away against division rivals from 2014-2024. This translates to a 55.1% ATS win rate over 157 games.

Is betting on the New York Yankees as away vs division rival profitable?

Yes, betting on the Yankees as away underdogs against division rivals has been profitable with a 5.2% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the 0.0% straight-up win rate, they've consistently covered the spread at a 55.1% rate.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 55.1% ATS rate significantly exceeds the typical 52.4% needed to break even in sports betting. The 5.2% ROI indicates strong long-term profitability compared to most betting scenarios.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.