The data suggests caution when backing the New York Yankees in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a win, the New York Yankees are just 202-209-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -6.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +6.2%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record202-209-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size411 games
ROI-6.2%
Units Won-25.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201411-21-00.0%-34.4%
201516-17-00.0%-7.4%
201619-14-00.0%+9.9%
201717-21-00.0%-14.6%
201826-17-00.0%+15.4%
201920-25-00.0%-15.2%
202019-27-00.0%-21.1%
202115-19-00.0%-15.8%
202219-17-00.0%+0.8%
202317-17-00.0%-4.5%
202423-14-00.0%+18.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Yankees' struggles after victories reflect a classic case of emotional letdown combined with heightened public expectations. As one of baseball's most scrutinized franchises, New York faces inflated betting lines following wins when casual money floods toward the pinstripes. This public perception creates value on the opposing side, as oddsmakers adjust spreads to account for the Yankees' brand recognition rather than their actual performance trajectory. The psychological component runs deeper than simple complacency. Yankees players historically carry immense pressure to maintain excellence, and the weight of expectations can manifest as pressing rather than playing naturally the day after a strong performance. This phenomenon intensifies during high-profile series or when chasing playoff positioning, where each game carries amplified significance. The recent improvement suggests potential maturation under current management, but the decade-long pattern indicates systemic issues with handling success. Sharp bettors should consider fading the Yankees as road favorites after wins, particularly in divisional games where opponents have extra motivation to knock down the sport's most polarizing franchise. This trend matters most during summer months when betting volume peaks and the Yankees' national following creates the largest line distortions.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New York Yankees's ATS record as after a win?

The New York Yankees have an ATS record of 202-209-0 (49.2%) in games following a win from 2014-2024. This means they have failed to cover the spread more often than they have covered it after victories.

Is betting on the New York Yankees as after a win profitable?

No, betting on the Yankees after a win has not been profitable, showing a -6.2% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Yankees in these situations.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is slightly below the expected 50% break-even rate for ATS betting. The 49.2% cover rate and negative ROI suggest the Yankees consistently receive inflated lines following wins, making them a poor betting value in these spots.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.