New York Mets Home Favorite on Zero Rest Betting Trend

The Mets' struggles as home favorites on zero rest stem from a combination of organizational philosophy and roster construction that consistently leaves them vulnerable in back-to-back situations. New York's pitching staff has historically relied heavily on their bullpen depth, but zero rest scenarios expose the secondary relievers who lack the quality to maintain leads against motivated road underdogs. The team's offensive approach also becomes predictable in these spots, as tired hitters tend to become more aggressive early in counts, playing directly into opposing pitchers' hands. The psychological element cannot be understated either. Mets players and coaching staff have shown a pattern of overconfidence when favored at Citi Field, particularly after emotional wins that drain mental energy. This creates a perfect storm where the team expects to cruise while opponents arrive with nothing to lose and maximum motivation to steal a road victory. The most actionable insight here is recognizing that road underdogs facing the Mets in these situations often provide exceptional value, especially when the visiting team has superior bullpen depth or a veteran starter who thrives in pressure spots. This trend carries the most weight during summer months when doubleheaders and makeup games create frequent zero rest scenarios, and when the Mets are facing divisional opponents who know their tendencies intimately.