New York Mets Home After 2+ Losses Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the New York Mets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home after 2+ losses, the New York Mets are just 217-221-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -5.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +5.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 30-23-0 | 0.0% | +8.1% |
| 2015 | 18-13-1 | 0.0% | +10.8% |
| 2016 | 27-21-0 | 0.0% | +7.4% |
| 2017 | 17-18-1 | 0.0% | -7.3% |
| 2018 | 18-25-0 | 0.0% | -20.1% |
| 2019 | 13-26-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2020 | 20-19-0 | 0.0% | -2.1% |
| 2021 | 16-23-0 | 0.0% | -21.7% |
| 2022 | 20-9-0 | 0.0% | +31.7% |
| 2023 | 19-19-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 19-25-0 | 0.0% | -17.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Mets' struggles at home following multiple road losses reflect a franchise historically prone to psychological fragmentation during adversity. When returning to Citi Field after consecutive defeats, the team often carries the weight of heightened fan expectations and media scrutiny that intensifies pressure rather than providing comfort. The organization's tendency toward emotional swings becomes magnified in their home environment, where negative energy from disappointed crowds can compound existing confidence issues. Citi Field's pitcher-friendly dimensions typically favor the Mets, but this advantage diminishes when the team's offensive approach becomes overly cautious following road struggles. Hitters pressing to break out of collective slumps often expand their strike zones against home pitching that should theoretically be more favorable to face. The franchise's inconsistent organizational culture has historically struggled to establish the kind of steady leadership that helps teams reset mentally after difficult stretches. The variance in seasonal performance suggests this trend intensifies during years when roster construction lacks veteran leadership or when managerial changes disrupt established routines. Bettors should particularly avoid backing the Mets in these spots when they're facing quality starting pitching, as the combination of pressing hitters and existing momentum issues creates a perfect storm for underperformance against the spread. This trend matters most during crucial stretches in July and August when playoff implications amplify every homestand's importance.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the New York Mets's ATS record as home after 2+ losses?
The New York Mets have an ATS record of 217-221-2 when playing at home after suffering 2 or more consecutive losses from 2014-2024. This represents a slightly below-average performance against the spread in this situation.
Is betting on the New York Mets as home after 2+ losses profitable?
No, betting on the New York Mets as home favorites after 2+ losses is not profitable, showing a -5.4% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Mets in this scenario.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Mets' 49.4% ATS win rate (217-221-2) when home after 2+ losses is slightly below the typical 50% expectation for spread betting. While not dramatically worse than average, the consistent underperformance has resulted in negative returns for bettors.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.