New York Mets Favorite After 3+ Game Losing Streak Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the New York Mets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as favorite after 3+ game losing streak, the New York Mets are just 70-342-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -67.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +67.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 12-36-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2015 | 8-27-0 | 0.0% | -56.4% |
| 2016 | 5-27-0 | 0.0% | -70.2% |
| 2017 | 9-27-1 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2018 | 8-28-0 | 0.0% | -57.6% |
| 2019 | 5-35-0 | 0.0% | -76.1% |
| 2020 | 7-23-0 | 0.0% | -55.5% |
| 2021 | 5-39-0 | 0.0% | -78.3% |
| 2022 | 4-27-0 | 0.0% | -75.4% |
| 2023 | 3-34-0 | 0.0% | -84.5% |
| 2024 | 4-39-0 | 0.0% | -82.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Mets' historically poor performance as favorites following extended losing streaks reveals a franchise caught in recurring psychological spirals that compound their on-field struggles. When New York enters these situations, the weight of expectation clashes with diminished confidence, creating a perfect storm where the team consistently fails to justify oddsmakers' faith. The organization's tendency toward dramatic roster construction—heavy investment in aging stars and volatile personalities—means their core players often lack the mental resilience needed to break negative momentum when the spotlight intensifies. This pattern reflects deeper organizational issues with handling adversity. The Mets' front office historically makes panic moves during rough patches, disrupting chemistry and sending mixed messages about accountability. Players pressing to end slumps individually rather than focusing on team execution becomes endemic, leading to the kind of unfocused baseball that makes covering spreads nearly impossible. The franchise's media market pressure amplifies these tendencies, as New York's demanding fanbase and press corps create additional stress when the team should be finding ways to reset mentally. Bettors should view Mets favoritism after losing streaks as a contrarian goldmine, particularly when they're laying significant chalk against divisional opponents who know their vulnerabilities intimately.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the New York Mets's ATS record as favorite after 3+ game losing streak?
The New York Mets have an ATS record of 70-342-1 (0.0% win rate) when favored after a 3+ game losing streak from 2014-2024. This represents one of the worst situational betting trends in baseball over the past decade.
Is betting on the New York Mets as favorite after 3+ game losing streak profitable?
No, betting on the Mets as favorites after 3+ game losing streaks is extremely unprofitable with a -67.6% ROI. This trend has consistently lost money for bettors over the 10-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams perform closer to 50% ATS in similar situations. The Mets' 0.0% win rate in this scenario is an extreme statistical outlier that suggests consistent overvaluation by oddsmakers.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.