The public often underestimates the New York Mets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog on zero rest, the New York Mets hold a record of 40-9-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +55.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $27 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record40-9-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size49 games
ROI+55.8%
Units Won+27.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20146-2-00.0%+43.2%
20153-1-00.0%+43.2%
20163-0-00.0%+90.9%
20174-1-00.0%+52.7%
20189-0-00.0%+90.9%
20192-0-00.0%+90.9%
20204-0-00.0%+90.9%
20212-2-00.0%-4.5%
20222-1-00.0%+27.3%
20233-1-00.0%+43.2%
20242-1-00.0%+27.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Mets' exceptional performance as away underdogs on zero rest stems from their organizational culture of resilience and their roster construction that thrives under adversity. When playing consecutive days on the road while being dismissed by oddsmakers, this franchise historically responds with the kind of gritty, opportunistic baseball that defined their championship runs. The zero rest factor actually works in their favor because it forces simplified game plans and relies on veteran leadership to guide younger players through hostile environments. New York's pitching depth becomes crucial in these spots, as their ability to piece together quality innings from multiple arms often catches opponents off-guard who expect fatigue to be a factor. The underdog role eliminates pressure while the road environment creates an "us against the world" mentality that resonates with this franchise's identity. Their hitters tend to work deeper counts when fatigued, leading to more favorable matchups against opposing bullpens later in games. Smart bettors should target this angle specifically when the Mets face division rivals on the road, as familiarity breeds the kind of tactical adjustments that overcome talent disparities. This trend carries maximum weight during summer months when roster depth and conditioning separate contenders from pretenders.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New York Mets's ATS record as away underdog on zero rest?

The New York Mets have a 40-9-0 ATS record as away underdogs on zero rest from 2014-2024. This translates to an 81.6% ATS win rate over 49 games.

Is betting on the New York Mets as away underdog on zero rest profitable?

Yes, betting on the Mets as away underdogs on zero rest has been highly profitable with a 55.8% ROI. Despite a 0.0% straight-up win rate, they've consistently covered the spread at an exceptional rate.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 81.6% ATS performance significantly exceeds the typical 50% league average for covering spreads. The 55.8% ROI indicates this has been one of the most profitable betting trends in baseball over the past decade.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.