The public often underestimates the New York Mets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog after a win, the New York Mets hold a record of 84-17-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +58.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $59 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record84-17-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size101 games
ROI+58.8%
Units Won+59.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201413-1-00.0%+77.3%
20157-1-00.0%+67.0%
20163-0-00.0%+90.9%
20179-1-00.0%+71.8%
201813-2-00.0%+65.5%
20194-1-00.0%+52.7%
20204-1-00.0%+52.7%
20216-3-00.0%+27.3%
20228-2-00.0%+52.7%
202310-3-00.0%+46.9%
20247-2-00.0%+48.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Mets' exceptional performance as road underdogs following victories stems from a potent combination of psychological momentum and organizational identity shifts over the past decade. When this franchise wins on the road, it typically signals that their pitching staff is executing at an elite level, which has been their calling card during successful stretches. The psychological boost of stealing a game away from home creates a confidence cascade that carries into the next contest, particularly when facing superior opponents who may underestimate a team coming off a statement win. New York's front office has consistently built rosters around starting pitching depth and opportunistic offense, making them particularly dangerous when they can leverage that momentum into another underdog spot. The team's ability to manufacture runs through situational hitting becomes amplified when players are riding high from recent success, while opponents often fail to adjust their approach against a Mets squad that has already proven it can win in hostile territory. The most actionable insight here is recognizing when the Mets have quality pitching lined up in these spots, as their offensive limitations become less relevant when they're already playing with house money psychologically. This trend carries maximum weight during summer months when divisional races intensify and every road series becomes crucial for playoff positioning.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New York Mets's ATS record as away underdog after a win?

The New York Mets have an 84-17-0 ATS record as away underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to an 83.2% ATS win rate over 101 games.

Is betting on the New York Mets as away underdog after a win profitable?

Yes, betting on the Mets as away underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 58.8% ROI. This represents one of the strongest betting trends in baseball over the past decade.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 83.2% ATS win rate significantly exceeds the typical 50% league average for ATS performance. The Mets' consistency in this specific situation makes it an exceptionally strong betting angle.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.