The New York Mets show mixed results as after a loss. Since 2014, they're 204-204-1 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -4.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record204-204-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size409 games
ROI-4.5%
Units Won-18.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201420-23-00.0%-11.2%
201516-17-10.0%-7.4%
201621-16-00.0%+8.3%
201720-16-00.0%+6.1%
201823-20-00.0%+2.1%
201913-18-00.0%-19.9%
202021-19-00.0%+0.2%
202118-22-00.0%-14.1%
202217-14-00.0%+4.7%
202319-22-00.0%-11.5%
202416-17-00.0%-7.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Mets' perfectly neutral performance after losses reveals a franchise caught between emotional extremes rather than displaying consistent resilience or vulnerability. This organization has historically struggled with identity - swinging between championship aspirations and rebuilding phases - which creates an unpredictable response pattern following defeats. Unlike teams with established cultures of either bouncing back strongly or spiraling after setbacks, the Mets operate in a psychological middle ground where individual game circumstances matter more than recent results. New York's roster construction often features high-ceiling, high-volatility players who can either dominate or disappear regardless of previous outcomes. The franchise's tendency to make mid-season adjustments - whether through trades, lineup changes, or managerial decisions - means the team responding to a loss in April might be fundamentally different from the one playing in August. This constant evolution prevents the development of consistent post-loss patterns that sharper bettors typically exploit. The key insight for bettors is to focus on matchup-specific factors rather than situational trends when the Mets are coming off defeats. Their neutral bounce-back record suggests that pitching matchups, home/road splits, and opponent-specific historical performance will provide more predictive value than emotional narratives about team response. This trend matters most during playoff races when the stakes amplify every decision, making the Mets' unpredictable post-loss response even more volatile.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New York Mets's ATS record as after a loss?

The New York Mets have gone 204-204-1 against the spread after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a perfectly even .500 record over 409 games in this situation.

Is betting on the New York Mets as after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the New York Mets after a loss is not profitable with a -4.5% ROI. Despite the even ATS record, the negative return indicates consistent losses due to juice/vig over this 11-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Mets' .500 ATS record after losses is right at the league average, as teams typically hover around 50% ATS in most situations. However, the -4.5% ROI is slightly worse than expected due to betting costs.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.