Minnesota Twins Three or More Days Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Minnesota Twins show mixed results as three or more days rest. Since 2014, they're 139-139-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -4.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 14-13-0 | 0.0% | -1.0% |
| 2015 | 13-7-0 | 0.0% | +24.1% |
| 2016 | 12-18-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2017 | 11-11-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 13-15-0 | 0.0% | -11.4% |
| 2019 | 13-13-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 17-10-0 | 0.0% | +20.2% |
| 2021 | 13-14-0 | 0.0% | -8.1% |
| 2022 | 10-13-0 | 0.0% | -17.0% |
| 2023 | 9-12-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2024 | 14-13-0 | 0.0% | -1.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Twins' perfectly neutral performance with extended rest reflects their organizational approach to roster management and pitching development. Minnesota has historically operated with a five-man rotation philosophy that emphasizes routine over rest advantages, meaning their starters often perform similarly whether they're on normal rest or extended breaks. This systematic approach neutralizes the typical benefits teams might gain from extra preparation time. The franchise's reliance on younger pitchers and developing talent creates inconsistency that extended rest doesn't resolve. When Twins starters get extra days off, they're just as likely to struggle with command or stamina issues as they are to benefit from additional recovery. Their bullpen construction has also remained relatively stable regardless of starter performance, meaning late-game situations play out similarly whether the team is fresh or not. The modest negative ROI suggests the betting market occasionally overvalues Minnesota's rest advantage, creating small but consistent value on their opponents. Bettors should focus on this trend during stretches where the Twins face quality opponents coming off their own rest, as the perceived advantage often gets priced incorrectly. This pattern matters most during April and September when schedule irregularities create more extended rest situations, particularly in divisional matchups where familiarity trumps freshness.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Minnesota Twins's ATS record as three or more days rest?
The Minnesota Twins have gone 139-139-0 against the spread when playing with three or more days rest from 2014-2024. This represents a perfectly even .500 ATS record over 278 total games.
Is betting on the Minnesota Twins as three or more days rest profitable?
No, betting on the Minnesota Twins with three or more days rest has not been profitable, showing a -4.5% ROI despite the even ATS record. The negative return indicates consistent losses due to juice/vig over the 11-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This trend would need comparison to league-wide data for teams with three or more days rest to determine relative performance. The even ATS record suggests the Twins perform at market expectations in this situation, though the negative ROI indicates below-average profitability.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.