The Milwaukee Brewers show mixed results as three or more days rest. Since 2014, they're 141-134-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -2.1%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record141-134-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size275 games
ROI-2.1%
Units Won-5.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201411-9-00.0%+5.0%
201513-13-00.0%-4.5%
201613-13-00.0%-4.5%
201719-7-00.0%+39.5%
201810-13-00.0%-17.0%
20199-15-00.0%-28.4%
202014-9-00.0%+16.2%
202110-15-00.0%-23.6%
202213-13-00.0%-4.5%
202319-13-00.0%+13.3%
202410-14-00.0%-20.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Brewers' struggles with extended rest primarily stem from their organizational philosophy that emphasizes momentum and rhythm over recuperation. Milwaukee has historically been built around aggressive baserunning, timely hitting, and bullpen-heavy strategies that thrive on consistent game action. When players sit for three or more days, their timing at the plate suffers disproportionately, particularly affecting a lineup that relies heavily on situational hitting rather than pure power. The team's pitching staff composition amplifies this issue. Milwaukee's success often hinges on a deep bullpen rotation where relievers stay sharp through regular work. Extended breaks disrupt these carefully managed usage patterns, forcing managers to rely on less-tested arms or overwork their primary options when games resume. The franchise's emphasis on platoon advantages and matchup-specific substitutions also becomes less effective when players lose their competitive edge during layoffs. Bettors should particularly avoid backing Milwaukee after long breaks when they're facing teams coming off regular rest, as the contrast in game readiness becomes most pronounced. This trend carries the most weight during early-season series and after All-Star breaks when rust accumulates quickly.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Milwaukee Brewers's ATS record as three or more days rest?

The Milwaukee Brewers have gone 141-134-0 against the spread when playing with three or more days rest from 2014-2024. This represents a 51.3% ATS win rate over 275 total games.

Is betting on the Milwaukee Brewers as three or more days rest profitable?

No, betting on the Milwaukee Brewers with three or more days rest has not been profitable, showing a -2.1% ROI over the past decade. Despite a slightly above .500 ATS record, the negative return indicates poor betting value.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is roughly average compared to league standards, as most teams hover around 50% ATS. The Brewers' 51.3% ATS rate with extended rest is marginally better than break-even but the negative ROI suggests unfavorable betting lines.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.