Milwaukee Brewers Two Days Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Milwaukee Brewers show mixed results as two days rest. Since 2014, they're 63-58-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -0.6%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 6-8-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2015 | 2-7-0 | 0.0% | -57.6% |
| 2016 | 4-7-0 | 0.0% | -30.6% |
| 2017 | 8-7-0 | 0.0% | +1.8% |
| 2018 | 7-4-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2019 | 8-5-0 | 0.0% | +17.5% |
| 2020 | 5-5-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 5-5-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 6-2-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2023 | 6-1-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2024 | 6-7-0 | 0.0% | -11.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Brewers' mediocre performance on two days rest reflects the organization's strategic approach to roster management rather than any inherent weakness. Milwaukee has historically prioritized pitcher health and bullpen preservation, often making conservative lineup adjustments when facing compressed schedules. This cautious approach can leave the team less aggressive offensively while potentially over-managing pitching situations that might otherwise favor them. The franchise's reliance on power hitting becomes particularly relevant in these spots. When dealing with fatigue factors, the Brewers' home run dependent offense can become feast-or-famine, creating inconsistent results against the spread. Their pitching staff, while generally solid, has shown tendencies to struggle with command when working on shorter rest periods, leading to higher pitch counts and earlier bullpen usage than optimal. The key insight for bettors lies in examining the opposing pitcher's recent workload and the Brewers' recent offensive output. When Milwaukee faces a similarly rested opponent, their disciplined approach often keeps games closer than expected, providing value on the underdog side. This trend carries the most weight during summer months when heat and humidity compound fatigue effects, particularly in day games following night contests.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Milwaukee Brewers's ATS record as two days rest?
The Milwaukee Brewers have an ATS record of 63-58-0 when playing with two days rest from 2014-2024. This represents 121 total games over the 11-year period.
Is betting on the Milwaukee Brewers as two days rest profitable?
Betting on the Milwaukee Brewers with two days rest has not been profitable, showing a -0.6% ROI despite their positive ATS record. The negative return indicates that while they cover spreads more often than not, the betting value is minimal.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Brewers' 52.1% ATS win rate with two days rest is slightly above the expected 50% baseline for spread betting. However, without specific league average data for this rest situation, this appears to be a marginally above-average performance.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.