The public often underestimates the Milwaukee Brewers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the Milwaukee Brewers hold a record of 182-5-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +85.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $160 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record182-5-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size187 games
ROI+85.8%
Units Won+160.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201415-0-00.0%+90.9%
201514-0-00.0%+90.9%
201615-0-00.0%+90.9%
201717-1-00.0%+80.3%
201818-1-00.0%+80.9%
201918-0-00.0%+90.9%
202019-1-00.0%+81.4%
202117-1-00.0%+80.3%
202210-1-00.0%+73.5%
202319-0-00.0%+90.9%
202420-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Brewers' remarkable performance as massive underdogs stems from their organizational identity as a small-market team that thrives when expectations are lowest. Milwaukee has consistently built rosters around pitching depth and defensive fundamentals rather than star power, creating a team structure that performs exceptionally well when oddsmakers underestimate their capabilities. When facing such steep spreads, the Brewers typically encounter opponents who may be overconfident or looking ahead, while Milwaukee's veteran leadership and strong clubhouse culture keeps them focused on execution regardless of public perception. The franchise's analytical approach under David Stearns emphasized situational baseball and bullpen management, factors that become magnified in games where they're heavily counted out. Their pitching staff historically keeps games close even against superior offensive teams, while their opportunistic offense capitalizes on mistakes when opponents play down to competition. The psychological edge of having nothing to lose allows Milwaukee hitters to be more aggressive in favorable counts and take calculated risks on the basepaths. Bettors should target this trend most aggressively when the Brewers face division rivals or teams coming off emotional wins, as these scenarios amplify the motivational disparity that drives their underdog success.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Milwaukee Brewers's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?

The Milwaukee Brewers have an ATS record of 182-5-0 when playing as large underdogs (+7.5 or more) from 2014-2024. This represents an exceptional 97.3% ATS win rate in these situations.

Is betting on the Milwaukee Brewers as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Milwaukee Brewers as large underdogs has been extremely profitable with an 85.8% ROI from 2014-2024. This trend has covered the spread in 182 of 187 games when getting 7.5+ points.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly exceeds league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS in any given situation. The Brewers' 97.3% ATS rate as large underdogs represents one of the most dominant betting trends in baseball.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.