The Milwaukee Brewers show mixed results as home games. Since 2014, they're 213-194-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -0.1%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record213-194-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size407 games
ROI-0.1%
Units Won-0.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201421-21-00.0%-4.5%
201518-26-00.0%-21.9%
201618-13-00.0%+10.8%
201720-14-00.0%+12.3%
201822-18-00.0%+5.0%
201923-15-00.0%+15.6%
202017-14-00.0%+4.7%
202117-26-00.0%-24.5%
202219-14-00.0%+9.9%
202320-15-00.0%+9.1%
202418-18-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

Milwaukee's home performance reflects the unique dynamics of American Family Field and the team's organizational philosophy. The Brewers have consistently built their roster around pitching depth and defensive versatility, which creates interesting betting dynamics at home. Their pitching staff tends to perform better in familiar conditions, particularly with how the ballpark's dimensions favor their fly-ball oriented approach. However, the offensive inconsistency that has plagued Milwaukee translates into unpredictable run production, making them challenging to back consistently. The franchise's approach to roster construction often emphasizes value signings and player development over marquee acquisitions, leading to teams that can exceed expectations but lack the star power to dominate consistently. This creates a ceiling effect where Milwaukee frequently finds itself in competitive games rather than blowouts, which explains the modest negative return despite a near-even record against the spread. The psychological element cannot be ignored either. Milwaukee fans create an intimate atmosphere that energizes the team without overwhelming them, but this moderate home-field advantage doesn't translate to significant betting edges. Smart bettors should focus on Milwaukee home games when they're facing teams with poor road pitching, as the Brewers' patient approach at the plate becomes most effective against struggling arms in familiar surroundings.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Milwaukee Brewers's ATS record as home games?

The Milwaukee Brewers have a 213-194 ATS record in home games from 2014-2024. This represents a 52.3% ATS win rate over 407 home games during this period.

Is betting on the Milwaukee Brewers as home games profitable?

Betting on the Milwaukee Brewers at home has been marginally unprofitable with a -0.1% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite covering the spread more often than not, the negative ROI indicates small losses due to the standard -110 betting juice.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Brewers' 52.3% home ATS win rate is slightly above the theoretical break-even point of 52.4% needed to overcome standard betting juice. This performance is close to league average, as most teams hover around 50% ATS over large sample sizes.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.