The Miami Marlins show mixed results as on a 3+ game win streak. Since 2014, they're 438-424-1 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -3.0%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record438-424-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size863 games
ROI-3.0%
Units Won-25.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201438-31-00.0%+5.1%
201533-34-00.0%-6.0%
201635-51-00.0%-22.3%
201738-39-00.0%-5.8%
201842-42-00.0%-4.5%
201937-41-00.0%-9.4%
202049-49-00.0%-4.5%
202138-34-10.0%+0.8%
202245-42-00.0%-1.2%
202338-27-00.0%+11.6%
202445-34-00.0%+8.8%

Why This Trend Exists

The Marlins' mediocre performance on extended winning streaks reflects the franchise's chronic inability to sustain momentum due to organizational instability and roster construction issues. Miami has historically operated with one of baseball's lowest payrolls, creating rosters filled with young, inexperienced players who lack the mental fortitude to handle the pressure that comes with success. When the team gets hot, opposing clubs begin game-planning more intensively against them, exposing the depth issues that plague their lineup and bullpen. The franchise's constant rebuilding cycles mean that veteran leadership is often absent during these crucial stretches. Young players who perform well early in win streaks tend to press when expectations rise, leading to regression toward their true talent level. Miami's pitching staff, typically constructed around promising but unproven arms, becomes more vulnerable as opposing hitters get multiple looks and adjust their approaches. The psychological burden of being a "small market" team also weighs heavily. Players and coaches understand that success often leads to trades or departures, creating a subconscious ceiling on sustained excellence. This trend matters most when betting against Miami during mid-season hot streaks, particularly when they're favored on the road where their young roster struggles most with elevated expectations.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Miami Marlins's ATS record as on a 3+ game win streak?

The Miami Marlins have an ATS record of 438-424-1 when on a 3+ game win streak from 2014-2024. This represents a 50.8% cover rate over 863 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Miami Marlins as on a 3+ game win streak profitable?

No, betting on the Miami Marlins when on a 3+ game win streak has not been profitable, showing a -3.0% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Despite covering slightly more than half their games, the negative ROI indicates losses when accounting for betting juice.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is close to league average expectations, as the 50.8% cover rate is just slightly above the break-even point of 50%. The -3.0% ROI is typical for most betting situations when factoring in standard sportsbook margins.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.