Miami Marlins vs Non-Conference Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Miami Marlins show mixed results as vs non-conference opponent. Since 2014, they're 229-226-1 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -3.9%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 21-17-0 | 0.0% | +5.5% |
| 2015 | 13-24-0 | 0.0% | -32.9% |
| 2016 | 23-27-0 | 0.0% | -12.2% |
| 2017 | 23-18-0 | 0.0% | +7.1% |
| 2018 | 20-23-0 | 0.0% | -11.2% |
| 2019 | 17-21-0 | 0.0% | -14.6% |
| 2020 | 26-30-0 | 0.0% | -11.4% |
| 2021 | 21-23-1 | 0.0% | -8.9% |
| 2022 | 28-21-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2023 | 17-7-0 | 0.0% | +35.2% |
| 2024 | 20-15-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Marlins' mediocre performance against non-conference opponents stems from their organizational identity as a team that thrives on familiarity and routine. Miami has historically been a franchise that relies heavily on scouting reports and detailed preparation against division rivals, but struggles to adapt quickly to American League pitching styles and unfamiliar ballparks during interleague play. The team's young core often appears overwhelmed by the novelty of facing AL lineups they see only briefly each season. Miami's pitching staff, typically built around finesse rather than power, faces particular challenges against AL designated hitters who specialize in working counts and driving up pitch totals. The Marlins' bullpen depth issues become magnified in these matchups when starters exit earlier than expected. Additionally, the team's offensive approach often fails to capitalize on AL pitchers who may be less familiar with their hitting tendencies. The recent uptick suggests improved organizational preparation, but the underlying pattern remains. Bettors should focus on Miami's interleague road games, where the combination of unfamiliar environments and opponent advantages creates the most pronounced struggles. This trend carries the most weight during early-season interleague series when both teams are still adjusting to cross-league play dynamics.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Miami Marlins's ATS record as vs non-conference opponent?
The Miami Marlins have a 229-226-1 ATS record when facing non-conference opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a nearly even split with a slight edge to the under.
Is betting on the Miami Marlins as vs non-conference opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Miami Marlins vs non-conference opponents has not been profitable, showing a -3.9% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Despite the close ATS record, bettors would have lost money due to juice/vig.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is slightly below average, as the Marlins' 50.3% ATS win rate against non-conference teams falls just short of the break-even point needed to overcome standard betting juice. Most successful ATS trends require at least 52-53% to be profitable long-term.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.