Miami Marlins As Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Miami Marlins in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as underdog, the Miami Marlins hold a record of 354-79-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +56.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $243 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 31-9-0 | 0.0% | +48.0% |
| 2015 | 28-8-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2016 | 26-7-0 | 0.0% | +50.4% |
| 2017 | 30-8-0 | 0.0% | +50.7% |
| 2018 | 36-7-0 | 0.0% | +59.8% |
| 2019 | 33-6-0 | 0.0% | +61.5% |
| 2020 | 37-11-0 | 0.0% | +47.2% |
| 2021 | 32-7-0 | 0.0% | +56.6% |
| 2022 | 33-6-0 | 0.0% | +61.5% |
| 2023 | 35-4-0 | 0.0% | +71.3% |
| 2024 | 33-6-0 | 0.0% | +61.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Miami Marlins' exceptional performance as underdogs stems from their organizational identity as perpetual overachievers who thrive when expectations are low. This franchise has built a culture around playing spoiler, particularly against division rivals and playoff contenders who may overlook them. The Marlins benefit from having nothing to lose in underdog spots, allowing their young, hungry players to play with freedom while opponents often struggle with the pressure of being favored. Miami's roster construction plays a crucial role in this trend. The organization consistently develops scrappy, fundamentally sound players who excel in situational baseball – the type of grinding, small-ball approach that wins close games. Their pitching staff, while not star-studded, typically features arms with deceptive stuff that can neutralize superior lineups for short stretches. The Marlins also benefit from playing in a pitcher-friendly home ballpark that keeps games close, giving them more opportunities to steal wins as underdogs. Bettors should target Miami as underdogs specifically in divisional matchups and against teams coming off emotional wins, when the letdown factor is highest. This trend matters most during summer months when playoff races intensify and opponents face increased pressure to perform against supposedly inferior competition.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Miami Marlins's ATS record as as underdog?
The Miami Marlins have an ATS record of 354-79-0 when playing as underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents a strong against-the-spread performance over the 11-year period.
Is betting on the Miami Marlins as as underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Miami Marlins as underdogs has been highly profitable with a 56.1% ROI from 2014-2024. This exceptional return indicates the betting market has consistently undervalued the Marlins when they're underdogs.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 56.1% ROI significantly outperforms the typical MLB betting expectation, where most teams hover around break-even or slight losses. The Marlins' underdog performance represents one of the most profitable long-term betting trends in baseball.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.