Miami Marlins Away vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Miami Marlins show mixed results as away vs division rival. Since 2014, they're 68-60-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +1.4%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2015 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2016 | 6-10-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2017 | 6-8-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2018 | 7-4-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2019 | 7-4-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2020 | 5-7-0 | 0.0% | -20.4% |
| 2021 | 6-4-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2022 | 14-8-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2023 | 6-2-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2024 | 7-6-0 | 0.0% | +2.8% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Miami Marlins' strong performance against division rivals on the road stems from their organizational DNA as perpetual underdogs who thrive when expectations are lowest. Playing away games against familiar NL East opponents like Atlanta, Philadelphia, and New York creates a perfect storm where Miami enters with minimal public backing and maximum motivation to prove themselves against better-funded rivals. The Marlins have historically constructed rosters around young, hungry players who perform better in hostile environments than comfortable home settings. Their pitching staff, often featuring prospects and reclamation projects, tends to elevate their game when facing division opponents they see regularly, as familiarity breeds both respect and competitive fire. The team's organizational culture under various front office regimes has emphasized scrappy, opportunistic baseball that translates well to road division matchups where they can play spoiler. Miami's financial constraints actually work in their favor here, as they're consistently getting plus-money against division rivals with bigger payrolls and higher expectations. The betting market often overvalues the perceived talent gap while underestimating Miami's tactical advantages and motivation. This trend carries the most weight during late-season series when division standings are fluid and the Marlins are playing with house money against teams fighting for playoff positioning.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Miami Marlins's ATS record as away vs division rival?
The Miami Marlins have a 68-60-0 ATS record when playing as the away team against division rivals from 2014-2024. This translates to a 53.1% ATS win rate over 128 games.
Is betting on the Miami Marlins as away vs division rival profitable?
Yes, betting on the Miami Marlins as the away team vs division rivals has been profitable with a 1.4% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 53.1% ATS win rate indicates they've consistently covered the spread more often than not in these matchups.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is above the league average, as the typical ATS win rate hovers around 50% due to sportsbook margins. The Marlins' 53.1% ATS rate and positive 1.4% ROI in division road games represents solid value for bettors.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.