Miami Marlins Away Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Miami Marlins in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog after a win, the Miami Marlins hold a record of 90-20-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +56.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $62 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 9-4-0 | 0.0% | +32.2% |
| 2015 | 8-2-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2016 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2017 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2018 | 12-1-0 | 0.0% | +76.2% |
| 2019 | 8-2-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2020 | 7-3-0 | 0.0% | +33.6% |
| 2021 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2022 | 12-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 11-1-0 | 0.0% | +75.0% |
| 2024 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Marlins' exceptional performance as road underdogs following victories stems from their organizational identity as a scrappy, momentum-driven franchise that thrives when expectations are low. Miami has historically operated with limited payroll and young rosters, creating a team culture where players feel they have nothing to lose and everything to prove on the road. This psychological advantage becomes amplified after wins, as the confidence boost from recent success combines with the underdog mentality to produce focused, aggressive performances. Miami's roster construction over this period has favored athletic, versatile players who adapt well to different ballparks and handle pressure situations effectively. The franchise's emphasis on player development means their young core often plays with the fearless energy that translates particularly well in hostile road environments where they're not expected to compete. Additionally, the Marlins have consistently featured strong pitching staffs that keep games close, allowing their opportunistic offense to capitalize on key moments. The key betting insight here is recognizing when Miami enters these spots with legitimate momentum rather than fluky wins. Target situations where the Marlins are coming off quality victories against respectable opponents rather than blowouts against weak teams. This trend carries the most weight during summer months when the Marlins' young players have settled into their roles and developed road confidence.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Miami Marlins's ATS record as away underdog after a win?
The Miami Marlins have an outstanding 90-20-0 ATS record as away underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to an 81.8% ATS win rate over 110 games.
Is betting on the Miami Marlins as away underdog after a win profitable?
Yes, betting on the Miami Marlins as away underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 56.2% ROI. This trend has covered the spread in 90 of 110 opportunities over the past decade.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 81.8% ATS win rate significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for similar situations. The 56.2% ROI indicates exceptional value compared to standard betting expectations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.