The Miami Marlins show mixed results as after a loss. Since 2014, they're 211-176-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +4.1%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record211-176-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size387 games
ROI+4.1%
Units Won+15.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201416-11-00.0%+13.1%
201516-17-00.0%-7.4%
201618-25-00.0%-20.1%
201717-21-00.0%-14.6%
201819-17-00.0%+0.8%
201918-15-00.0%+4.1%
202027-20-00.0%+9.7%
202124-11-00.0%+30.9%
202216-14-00.0%+1.8%
202319-11-00.0%+20.9%
202421-14-00.0%+14.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Marlins' strong bounce-back performance after losses stems from their organizational culture of resilience built through years of rebuilding and development. As a franchise that has consistently operated with limited payrolls and younger rosters, Miami players have learned to compartmentalize setbacks quickly rather than letting defeats compound into extended slumps. This mental toughness becomes particularly valuable in a sport where failure is inherent and psychological momentum can derail teams for weeks. Miami's approach to roster construction also plays a crucial role in this trend. The organization has historically emphasized versatile, scrappy players who embrace underdog mentalities rather than relying on high-priced stars who might press after poor performances. Their pitching staff, often featuring young arms with something to prove, tends to respond well to adversity by attacking the strike zone more aggressively in bounce-back spots. The franchise's transient nature, with frequent player movement and trades, creates an environment where individual accountability is high but team-wide negativity rarely festers. Players understand their opportunities are limited, leading to heightened focus in response games. This trend proves most valuable when betting Miami as road underdogs following home losses, where the combination of lower expectations and motivated play creates optimal value spots against inflated opponent lines.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Miami Marlins's ATS record as after a loss?

The Miami Marlins have a 211-176-0 ATS record when betting on them after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 54.5% ATS win rate over 387 games.

Is betting on the Miami Marlins as after a loss profitable?

Yes, betting on the Miami Marlins after a loss has been profitable with a 4.1% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Despite the positive ROI, their 0.0% win rate indicates they rarely win games outright in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Marlins' 54.5% ATS win rate after losses is above the typical 50% break-even point for spread betting. The 4.1% ROI suggests this has been a modestly profitable betting angle compared to most team situational trends.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.