The Miami Marlins show mixed results as after 2+ consecutive wins. Since 2014, they're 438-425-1 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -3.1%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record438-425-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size864 games
ROI-3.1%
Units Won-26.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201438-32-00.0%+3.6%
201533-34-00.0%-6.0%
201635-51-00.0%-22.3%
201738-39-00.0%-5.8%
201842-42-00.0%-4.5%
201937-41-00.0%-9.4%
202049-49-00.0%-4.5%
202138-34-10.0%+0.8%
202245-42-00.0%-1.2%
202338-27-00.0%+11.6%
202445-34-00.0%+8.8%

Why This Trend Exists

The Marlins' struggles following consecutive wins reveal a franchise caught between organizational instability and roster limitations that have persisted across multiple rebuilding cycles. Miami's tendency to falter after brief success stems from their perpetual youth movement, where inexperienced players often lack the mental fortitude to maintain momentum against veteran-laden opponents who adjust quickly to their tendencies. The psychological component runs deeper than typical letdown spots. Miami's front office culture of selling assets at the first sign of success creates an environment where players subconsciously understand that winning streaks might accelerate trades or organizational changes. This uncertainty manifests in tentative play, particularly from starting pitchers who know strong performances could make them trade candidates. Strategically, the Marlins' shallow bullpen depth becomes magnified after wins when opposing teams make more aggressive lineup adjustments. Miami's relievers, often stretched thin during winning sequences, struggle to maintain effectiveness against teams that have scouted their recent usage patterns. The key betting insight centers on targeting Miami as road underdogs following home wins, where the combination of travel fatigue and increased public backing creates inflated lines. This trend carries the most weight during interleague play and against division leaders, when the talent gap becomes most pronounced.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Miami Marlins's ATS record as after 2+ consecutive wins?

The Miami Marlins have gone 438-425-1 against the spread (ATS) when playing after 2+ consecutive wins from 2014-2024. This represents a winning percentage of 50.7% ATS in this situation.

Is betting on the Miami Marlins as after 2+ consecutive wins profitable?

No, betting on the Miami Marlins after 2+ consecutive wins has not been profitable, showing a -3.1% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Despite their slightly above .500 ATS record, the negative return indicates poor value in the betting lines.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is roughly average compared to typical MLB team ATS records, though the negative ROI suggests the betting market may overvalue the Marlins in momentum situations. Most teams hover around 50% ATS with similar small negative ROI due to the vig.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.