Los Angeles Dodgers vs Division Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Dodgers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs division opponent, the Los Angeles Dodgers are just 122-128-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -6.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +6.8%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 9-12-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2015 | 11-13-0 | 0.0% | -12.5% |
| 2016 | 13-7-0 | 0.0% | +24.1% |
| 2017 | 11-9-0 | 0.0% | +5.0% |
| 2018 | 14-8-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2019 | 8-12-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2020 | 12-9-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2021 | 7-16-1 | 0.0% | -41.9% |
| 2022 | 19-16-0 | 0.0% | +3.6% |
| 2023 | 7-13-0 | 0.0% | -33.2% |
| 2024 | 11-13-0 | 0.0% | -12.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Dodgers' struggles against division opponents stem from the unique psychological and strategic dynamics within the NL West. As perennial contenders with massive payrolls and championship expectations, Los Angeles faces heightened motivation from division rivals who view beating the Dodgers as their World Series. Teams like San Diego, Arizona, and Colorado play with extra intensity against LA, often deploying their best pitching matchups and strategic resources specifically for these series. The familiarity factor works against the Dodgers' favor. Division opponents see Los Angeles 19 times per season, allowing them to develop detailed scouting reports on Dodger hitters' tendencies and exploit weaknesses that other teams might miss. The Dodgers' analytical approach, while effective against unfamiliar opponents, becomes predictable when facing the same pitching staffs repeatedly throughout the season. Market perception also creates betting value on the wrong side. Public bettors consistently overvalue the Dodgers' talent advantage, inflating lines against division opponents who are more motivated and better prepared than the numbers suggest. This trend matters most during late-season series when division rivals are fighting for playoff positioning while the Dodgers may already have their postseason seed secured, creating a dangerous motivation mismatch.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Dodgers's ATS record as vs division opponent?
The Los Angeles Dodgers have a 122-128-1 ATS record when playing against division opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 48.8% ATS win rate over 251 total games.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Dodgers as vs division opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Los Angeles Dodgers against division opponents has not been profitable, showing a -6.8% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Dodgers ATS in divisional matchups.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Dodgers' 48.8% ATS win rate against division opponents is slightly below the theoretical 50% break-even point. Without specific league average data, this performance suggests the Dodgers have struggled to cover spreads in divisional games compared to what would be expected.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.