Los Angeles Dodgers Medium Favorite (-3.5 to -7) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Dodgers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7), the Los Angeles Dodgers are just 24-112-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -66.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +66.3%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-11-0 | 0.0% | -49.1% |
| 2015 | 0-15-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2018 | 4-7-0 | 0.0% | -30.6% |
| 2019 | 2-16-0 | 0.0% | -78.8% |
| 2020 | 2-11-0 | 0.0% | -70.6% |
| 2021 | 0-9-1 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 2-9-0 | 0.0% | -65.3% |
| 2023 | 2-13-0 | 0.0% | -74.5% |
| 2024 | 3-12-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Dodgers' struggles as medium favorites stem from their organizational philosophy of prioritizing long-term success over individual game outcomes. When laying moderate chalk, Los Angeles often finds itself in spots where they're managing workloads, rotating key players, or experimenting with lineup configurations that don't align with public perception of their strength. Their deep roster creates a false sense of security for bettors, who assume star power automatically translates to covering spreads in the -3.5 to -7 range. The franchise's analytical approach also works against them in these spots. The Dodgers frequently rest marquee players against weaker opponents, precisely the scenarios where they're installed as medium favorites. Their bullpen management prioritizes health over short-term results, leading to situations where they'll sacrifice leads to preserve high-leverage relievers for more critical matchups. The psychological element cannot be ignored either. Medium favorite lines suggest competitive games where the Dodgers should win but not dominate. This creates a dangerous middle ground where they lack the urgency of underdogs but don't possess the overwhelming talent advantage that larger favorites enjoy. This trend matters most during interleague play and against rebuilding National League opponents when the Dodgers are most likely to rest regulars while still being favored by moderate margins.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Dodgers's ATS record as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7)?
The Los Angeles Dodgers have a 24-112-1 ATS record as medium favorites (-3.5 to -7) from 2014-2024. This translates to an extremely poor 0.0% win rate against the spread in this betting situation.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Dodgers as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7) profitable?
No, betting on the Dodgers as medium favorites has been highly unprofitable with a -66.3% ROI. This represents significant losses for bettors who consistently wagered on LA in this spot over the past decade.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is drastically worse than league average, as most teams typically cover around 50% of spreads. The Dodgers' 0.0% ATS rate as medium favorites represents one of the worst situational betting trends in baseball.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.