Los Angeles Dodgers Home vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Dodgers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home vs division rival, the Los Angeles Dodgers are just 52-64-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -14.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +14.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-7-0 | 0.0% | -42.7% |
| 2015 | 3-6-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2016 | 8-3-0 | 0.0% | +38.8% |
| 2017 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2018 | 6-7-0 | 0.0% | -11.9% |
| 2019 | 3-7-0 | 0.0% | -42.7% |
| 2020 | 7-4-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2021 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2022 | 9-10-0 | 0.0% | -9.6% |
| 2023 | 3-7-0 | 0.0% | -42.7% |
| 2024 | 5-5-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Dodgers' struggles against division rivals at home stem from the unique psychological dynamics of NL West competition. When facing the Padres, Giants, Rockies, and Diamondbacks at Dodger Stadium, the team often faces opponents with nothing to lose and everything to prove against baseball's most successful franchise of the past decade. Division rivals know the Dodgers' tendencies intimately, having faced their rotation multiple times per season, which neutralizes Los Angeles' typical home-field advantages. The franchise's consistent success has created a target-on-their-back mentality where division opponents elevate their performance specifically against the Dodgers. This is particularly pronounced at Dodger Stadium, where visiting NL West teams often treat these games as playoff atmospheres. The Dodgers' deep roster construction, built for October success, sometimes works against them in these divisional matchups where scrappy, motivated opponents can exploit overconfidence or complacency. Smart bettors should consider fading the Dodgers when they're heavily favored at home against division rivals, especially in non-crucial regular season games. This trend carries the most weight during mid-season series when the Dodgers have comfortable division leads and may be looking ahead to bigger goals.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Dodgers's ATS record as home vs division rival?
The Los Angeles Dodgers have a 52-64-0 ATS record when playing at home against division rivals from 2014-2024. This translates to a 44.8% ATS win rate over 116 games.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Dodgers as home vs division rival profitable?
No, betting on the Los Angeles Dodgers at home vs division rivals has not been profitable, showing a -14.4% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Dodgers in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 44.8% ATS win rate is below the typical 50% breakeven point expected in sports betting. The -14.4% ROI significantly underperforms compared to successful betting strategies, making this a historically unprofitable trend.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.