Los Angeles Dodgers Home Favorite on Zero Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Dodgers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite on zero rest, the Los Angeles Dodgers are just 13-41-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -54.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +54.0%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-7-0 | 0.0% | -76.1% |
| 2015 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2016 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2017 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2020 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2022 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Dodgers' struggles as home favorites on zero rest reveal a franchise caught between organizational depth and human limitations. Despite their roster construction emphasizing versatility and bullpen strength, the psychological toll of playing without rest appears to override these advantages when oddsmakers expect dominance at Chavez Ravine. Los Angeles has historically relied on analytical approaches to lineup construction and pitching usage, but zero rest scenarios force more reactive decision-making. The team's stars, accustomed to meticulous preparation routines, often show diminished plate discipline and pitch recognition when rushed into action. Additionally, the Dodgers' home ballpark dimensions favor patient hitters who can work counts, but fatigue leads to more aggressive swings that play into opposing pitchers' hands. The franchise's championship expectations create additional pressure in these spots. When the betting public backs them heavily as rested home favorites, the psychological weight of justifying that confidence while physically compromised creates a perfect storm for underperformance. Savvy bettors should target Dodgers opponents in these situations, particularly when facing teams with strong starting pitching that can exploit tired hitters early. This trend carries the most weight during playoff races and nationally televised games when external pressure peaks.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Dodgers's ATS record as home favorite on zero rest?
The Los Angeles Dodgers have an ATS record of 13-41-0 (24.1% win rate) as home favorites on zero rest from 2014-2024. This represents 54 total games where they failed to cover the spread 76% of the time.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Dodgers as home favorite on zero rest profitable?
No, betting on the Dodgers as home favorites on zero rest is highly unprofitable with a -54.0% ROI. This means bettors would lose approximately 54 cents for every dollar wagered on this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than typical home favorite trends, which usually cover around 48-52% of the time. The Dodgers' 24.1% ATS rate in this spot represents one of the worst situational trends in MLB betting.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.