Los Angeles Dodgers Home Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Los Angeles Dodgers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Los Angeles Dodgers hold a record of 78-16-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +58.4% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $55 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 6-2-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2015 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2016 | 10-1-0 | 0.0% | +73.5% |
| 2017 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2018 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2019 | 11-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 10-2-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2021 | 6-2-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2022 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2023 | 6-1-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2024 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Dodgers' exceptional performance as home underdogs following victories stems from a perfect storm of organizational culture and market inefficiency. Los Angeles operates with a championship-or-bust mentality that creates intense focus when disrespected by oddsmakers, particularly at Dodger Stadium where they've cultivated one of baseball's most intimidating atmospheres. The franchise's deep roster construction allows them to maintain quality even when key players rest after wins, while their advanced analytics department consistently identifies favorable matchups that the betting market undervalues. This trend thrives on recency bias working against the Dodgers. After a victory, casual bettors often assume the team will experience a natural letdown, while sportsbooks adjust lines based on public perception rather than the team's actual capabilities. The Dodgers' organizational depth means they rarely experience true emotional or physical valleys, especially at home where their preparation and execution remain consistently elite. The psychological edge of playing with "house money" as underdogs cannot be understated. When a team accustomed to being favored finds itself getting points at home, it often translates to maximum effort and focus. This trend carries the most weight during the regular season when the Dodgers face quality opponents in close divisional races or interleague play.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Dodgers's ATS record as home underdog after a win?
The Los Angeles Dodgers have an outstanding 78-16-0 ATS record as home underdog after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to an exceptional 83.0% ATS win rate over 94 games.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Dodgers as home underdog after a win profitable?
Yes, betting on the Dodgers as home underdog after a win has been extremely profitable with a 58.4% ROI. This represents one of the most consistently profitable betting situations in baseball.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly outperforms the league average, as most teams struggle to maintain above 52-55% ATS win rates in any specific situation. The Dodgers' 83.0% rate in this scenario is exceptionally rare and well above typical benchmarks.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.