The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Dodgers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away after 2+ wins, the Los Angeles Dodgers are just 217-226-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -6.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +6.5%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record217-226-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size444 games
ROI-6.5%
Units Won-28.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201421-17-00.0%+5.5%
201523-26-00.0%-10.4%
201622-14-00.0%+16.7%
201727-18-00.0%+14.6%
201817-18-00.0%-7.3%
201916-24-00.0%-23.6%
202015-24-00.0%-26.6%
202119-25-10.0%-17.6%
202223-21-00.0%-0.2%
202318-20-00.0%-9.6%
202416-19-00.0%-12.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Dodgers' struggles as road favorites following multiple wins stem from a combination of market overvaluation and the psychological dynamics of sustained success. Los Angeles has consistently been one of baseball's most talented rosters over this period, which creates inflated public perception when they're riding winning streaks. The betting market tends to overreact to recent success, particularly with marquee franchises, pushing lines beyond their true value. This pattern reflects the classic "trap game" scenario where a superior team faces letdown spots after building momentum. The Dodgers' deep roster and championship expectations can breed complacency when traveling after victories, especially against perceived lesser opponents. Road environments naturally level the playing field, and when combined with potentially inflated spreads, create value on the opposition. The franchise's analytical approach sometimes works against them in these spots, as they may rest key players or manage workloads more aggressively when feeling confident about their recent performance. This roster management philosophy, while sound for long-term health, can create short-term vulnerabilities that sharp bettors exploit. This trend carries the most weight when the Dodgers are road favorites of -150 or higher following back-to-back wins, particularly against division rivals who possess extra motivation to play spoiler.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Dodgers's ATS record as away after 2+ wins?

The Los Angeles Dodgers have an ATS record of 217-226-1 when playing away after winning 2 or more consecutive games from 2014-2024. This represents a 49.0% ATS win rate over 444 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Dodgers as away after 2+ wins profitable?

No, betting on the Dodgers as away favorites after 2+ wins is not profitable, showing a -6.5% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Dodgers in this specific situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Dodgers' 49.0% ATS win rate in this situation is slightly below the expected 50% break-even point for ATS betting. While the sample size is substantial with 444 games, the performance indicates the market may overvalue the Dodgers as road favorites following winning streaks.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.