The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Dodgers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a win, the Los Angeles Dodgers are just 195-198-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -5.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +5.3%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record195-198-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size394 games
ROI-5.3%
Units Won-20.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201420-23-00.0%-11.2%
201513-19-00.0%-22.4%
201627-14-00.0%+25.7%
201718-15-00.0%+4.1%
201816-21-00.0%-17.4%
201921-19-00.0%+0.2%
202017-22-00.0%-16.8%
202115-17-10.0%-10.5%
202218-12-00.0%+14.6%
202314-17-00.0%-13.8%
202416-19-00.0%-12.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Dodgers' struggle after victories reveals a classic case of psychological letdown combined with market overadjustment. Los Angeles has historically been a franchise that attracts heavy public betting action, particularly when riding momentum from a win. This creates inflated lines that consistently work against the betting public, as oddsmakers know casual money will flow toward the popular team coming off success. The organization's deep roster construction paradoxically contributes to this pattern. Manager Dave Roberts frequently uses victories as opportunities to rest key players, deploy experimental lineups, or give fringe roster players extended looks. This roster management philosophy, while beneficial for long-term health, often leaves the team less equipped to cover spreads in immediate follow-up games. The Dodgers' front office prioritizes sustainable excellence over short-term momentum maintenance. Market perception amplifies these tendencies. When Los Angeles wins, especially against quality opponents, recreational bettors assume the hot streak will continue and bet accordingly. Sharp money recognizes this public bias and often takes the contrarian position, knowing the Dodgers face inflated expectations and potentially compromised lineups. This trend carries the most weight during regular season divisional games and interleague play, when Roberts is most likely to prioritize rest over immediate results.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Dodgers's ATS record as after a win?

The Los Angeles Dodgers have an ATS record of 195-198-1 (49.5% win rate) in games following a win from 2014-2024. This represents 394 total games over the 11-year period.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Dodgers as after a win profitable?

No, betting on the Dodgers after a win has not been profitable, showing a -5.3% ROI over this period. Bettors would have lost money consistently backing the Dodgers ATS following victories.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is slightly below the expected 50% ATS win rate, though specific league average data would be needed for precise comparison. The negative ROI indicates underperformance relative to market expectations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.