The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Angels in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7), the Los Angeles Angels are just 28-126-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -65.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +65.3%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record28-126-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size154 games
ROI-65.3%
Units Won-100.5u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-11-00.0%-49.1%
20153-16-00.0%-69.9%
20161-11-00.0%-84.1%
20171-10-00.0%-82.6%
20182-14-00.0%-76.1%
20190-6-00.0%-100.0%
20205-13-00.0%-47.0%
20213-7-00.0%-42.7%
20222-15-00.0%-77.5%
20234-11-00.0%-49.1%
20243-12-00.0%-61.8%

Why This Trend Exists

The Angels' disastrous performance as medium favorites stems from a fundamental disconnect between public perception and organizational reality. Despite boasting marquee talents like Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani, the franchise has consistently fielded teams with glaring roster holes, particularly in pitching depth and bullpen reliability. When oddsmakers set the Angels as medium favorites, they're often responding to star power and offensive potential rather than the complete team construction needed to win consistently at that level. This creates a perfect storm where casual bettors gravitate toward the Angels based on name recognition, inflating the line beyond what the team's true capabilities warrant. The Angels have historically struggled with situational baseball and late-game execution, areas that become magnified when expectations are elevated. Their pitching staff frequently implodes in crucial moments, turning what should be comfortable wins into devastating losses that crush both the team's confidence and bettors' bankrolls. The key insight for sharp bettors is recognizing when the Angels' line appears inflated by star power rather than supported by underlying fundamentals. Look for spots where their starting pitcher is questionable or they're facing teams with strong bullpens that can exploit late-game weaknesses. This trend matters most during nationally televised games and weekend series when casual betting volume peaks.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Angels's ATS record as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7)?

The Los Angeles Angels have gone 28-126-0 against the spread (ATS) when favored by 3.5 to 7 runs from 2014-2024. This represents a 0.0% win rate over 154 games in this betting situation.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Angels as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7) profitable?

No, betting on the Angels as medium favorites has been extremely unprofitable with a -65.3% ROI. This means bettors would have lost approximately 65 cents for every dollar wagered on the Angels in this spot over the past decade.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams typically cover the spread around 50% of the time. The Angels' 0.0% ATS record in this situation represents one of the worst sustained betting trends in modern baseball.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.