Los Angeles Angels Large Favorite (-7.5+) Betting Trend

The Angels' catastrophic performance as large favorites stems from a fundamental mismatch between market perception and organizational reality. Despite periodic flashes of star power from players like Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani, the franchise has consistently struggled with depth issues that become magnified when oddsmakers inflate their lines. When installed as heavy favorites, the betting market often overvalues their marquee talent while underestimating systemic weaknesses in pitching depth, bullpen reliability, and defensive consistency. Large favorite situations typically arise when the Angels face rebuilding teams or when their ace pitchers take the mound, creating inflated expectations that their supporting cast cannot fulfill. The psychological pressure of being expected to dominate weaker opponents has historically exposed their inability to execute fundamentals consistently. Their pitching staff, outside of elite starters, has repeatedly failed to maintain leads against supposedly inferior competition, while their offense has shown troubling tendencies to play down to competition levels. The most profitable approach is fading the Angels whenever they're installed as favorites of 7.5 runs or more, particularly in day games following night games or in series finales where motivation may wane. This trend carries the most weight during the middle months of the season when their organizational flaws become most apparent against struggling opponents.